Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Albania	17:15	SuperSport 3
Andorra	17:15	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	12:15	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	19:15	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Azerbaijan	19:15	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	17:15	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	18:15	Nova Sport
Canada	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	23:15	Migu
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:15	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Czech Republic	17:15	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	18:15	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	17:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	19:15	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	17:15	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	23:15	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	17:15	Sky Sport Arena
Japan	00:15	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	17:15	ART Sport 6
Kyrgyzstan	21:15	Setanta Sports 1
Mexico	09:15	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Moldova	18:15	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	17:15	MaxTV GO
Norway	17:15	Viaplay
Peru	10:15	Disney+
Poland	17:15	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	16:15	Sport TV3
Russia	18:15	Okko Sport
Serbia	17:15	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	17:15	Voyo
Slovenia	17:15	Arena Sport 3
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
South Korea	00:15	Coupang Play
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	20:15	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	18:15	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	20:15	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	12:15	Disney+
Usa	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	20:15	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	11:15	Disney+
Vietnam	22:15	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Paris Saint-Germain		Lens

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7	Watch
	1.33	5.75	7.5
	1.35	5.4	7.9
	1.34	5.99	8.35
	1.25	5.8	9.5
	1.35	5.89	7.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.29)	5.72 ↓ (6.35)	7.97 ↓ (8.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
71.5%

Draw
16.6%

Lens
11.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.9%

15%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	13.7%	3.9%

Paris Saint Germain - Lens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - PSG (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (6.44) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH -1.25 - PSG (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (41 of 48 users predict this - 85.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.44% – 95.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 18 - 90%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Chevalier L. (G) 2. Hakimi A. (C) 6. Zabarnyi I. 4. Beraldo L. 21. Hernandez L. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 17. Vitinha 19. Lee Kang-In 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 9. Ramos G. 29. Barcola B.	40. Risser R. (G) 24. Gradit J. 6. Baidoo S. 20. Sarr M. 2. Aguilar R. 8. Sangare M. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 11. Edouard O. 10. Thauvin F. 29. Guilavogui M.
Substitutes
43. Kamara N. 5. Marquinhos 24. Mayulu S. 49. Mbaye I. 25. Mendes N. 87. Neves J. 51. Pacho W. 8. Ruiz F. 39. Safonov M. (G)	23. Abdulhamid S. 26. Bermont A. 5. Bulatovic A. 38. Fofana R. 25. Ganiou I. 1. Gurtner R. (G) 22. Said W. 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Edouard O. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Barcola B. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
18', Thauvin F. 🟨,
30', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
38', Ramos G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guilavogui M. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Barcola B. ⚽, Vitinha (A),
57', Lee Kang-In ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
66', Aguilar R. ↓, Abdulhamid S. ↑,
66', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
71', Beraldo L. ↓, Mendes N. ↑,
71', Barcola B. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
71', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
80', Thauvin F. ↓, Said W. ↑,
80', Udol M. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 5.

Lens has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Lens has had a series of home games.

In this match, PSG is the clear favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Dembele O. (Thigh Injury) Doue D. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Lens: Machado D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in PSG: Ruiz F. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that PSG will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, PSG won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
30.08.25	Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain	3:6 ✺
22.08.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Angers	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
UEFA Super Cup
13.08.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 penalties ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
13.07.25	Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWL
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
29.08.25	Lens - Brest	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Le Havre - Lens	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Lens - Lyon	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Lens - RB Leipzig	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Lens - Roma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
18.01.25	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
Coupe De France
22.12.24	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 penalties
French Ligue 1
02.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	1:0
14.01.24	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
26.08.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	3:1
15.04.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	3:1
01.01.23	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	3:1

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