Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
Italy	Sky Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	CMore Fotboll, TV4, Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Newcastle United		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.88
	2.37	3.4	2.87
	2.45	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.8
	2.46	3.59	2.97
	2.4	3.5	2.8
	2.51	3.54	2.75
	2.47	3.55	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.41)	3.51 ↓ (3.66)	2.86 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
39.2%

Draw
27.3%

Paris Saint-Germain
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

25.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

26.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Newcastle United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50.8%	27.7%	21.5%

Newcastle United - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 33 - 50.8%). PSG will win (votes: 14 - 21.5%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 27.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 38.6% – 63%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pope N. (G) 2. Trippier K. 5. Schar F. 6. Lascelles J. (C) 33. Burn D. 36. Longstaff S. 39. Guimaraes B. 8. Tonali S. 24. Almiron M. 14. Isak A. 10. Gordon A.	99. Donnarumma G. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 37. Skriniar M. 21. Hernandez L. 10. Dembele O. 4. Ugarte M. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 23. Kolo Muani R. 9. Ramos G. 7. Mbappe K.
Substitutes
32. Anderson E. 1. Dubravka M. (G) 3. Dummett P. 20. Hall L. 18. Karius L. (G) 21. Livramento V. 47. Miley J. 23. Murphy J. 13. Targett M.	29. Barcola B. 26. Mukiele N. 1. Navas K. (G) 15. Pereira D. 8. Ruiz F. 28. Soler C. 80. Tenas A. (G) 17. Vitinha
Coaches
Howe E.	Enrique L.

Preview

Newcastle in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PSG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newcastle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Newcastle: Barnes H. (Ankle Injury) Botman S. (Knee Injury) Willock J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Asensio M. (Foot Injury) Kimpembe P. (Convalescence) Mendes N. (Muscle Injury) Rico S. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Joelinton (Calf Injury) Tonali S. (Injury) Wilson C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in PSG: Navas K. (Back Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
30.09.23	Newcastle United - Burnley	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.09.23	Newcastle United - Manchester City	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.09.23	Sheffield United - Newcastle United	0:8 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.23	Milan - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
16.09.23	Newcastle United - Brentford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWTW
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
30.09.23	Clermont - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Borussia Dortmund	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	2:3 ✺
03.09.23	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWLW

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