Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	CMore, CMore Sport
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub
Sweden	21:00	CMore Fotboll, TV4, Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Newcastle United		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.88
	2.37	3.4	2.87
	2.45	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.8
	2.46	3.59	2.97
	2.4	3.5	2.8
	2.51	3.54	2.75
	2.47	3.55	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.41)	3.51 ↓ (3.66)	2.86 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
39.2%

Draw
27.3%

Paris Saint-Germain
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.2%

25.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

26.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Newcastle United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50.8%	27.7%	21.5%

Newcastle United - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 33 - 50.8%). PSG will win (votes: 14 - 21.5%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 27.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 38.6% – 63%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pope N. (G) 2. Trippier K. 5. Schar F. 6. Lascelles J. (C) 33. Burn D. 36. Longstaff S. 39. Guimaraes B. 8. Tonali S. 24. Almiron M. 14. Isak A. 10. Gordon A.	99. Donnarumma G. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 37. Skriniar M. 21. Hernandez L. 10. Dembele O. 4. Ugarte M. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 23. Kolo Muani R. 9. Ramos G. 7. Mbappe K.
Substitutes
32. Anderson E. 1. Dubravka M. (G) 3. Dummett P. 20. Hall L. 18. Karius L. (G) 21. Livramento V. 47. Miley J. 23. Murphy J. 13. Targett M.	29. Barcola B. 26. Mukiele N. 1. Navas K. (G) 15. Pereira D. 8. Ruiz F. 28. Soler C. 80. Tenas A. (G) 17. Vitinha
Coaches
Howe E.	Enrique L.

Preview

Newcastle in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PSG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newcastle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Newcastle: Barnes H. (Ankle Injury) Botman S. (Knee Injury) Willock J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Asensio M. (Foot Injury) Kimpembe P. (Convalescence) Mendes N. (Muscle Injury) Rico S. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Joelinton (Calf Injury) Tonali S. (Injury) Wilson C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in PSG: Navas K. (Back Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
30.09.23	Newcastle United - Burnley	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.09.23	Newcastle United - Manchester City	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.09.23	Sheffield United - Newcastle United	0:8 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.23	Milan - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
16.09.23	Newcastle United - Brentford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWTW
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
30.09.23	Clermont - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Borussia Dortmund	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	2:3 ✺
03.09.23	Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
02.11.26	Newcastle United - Everton	✺
English League Cup
29.10.26	Everton - Newcastle United	✺
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Villarreal - Paris Saint-Germain	✺
French Ligue 1
30.10.26	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	✺

Newcastle United - Paris Saint-Germain