Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport LaLiga
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 8
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Brazil	16:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 8, WOW
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Stod 2 Sport 6
India	00:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 258
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	13:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South Africa	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South America	—	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
Vietnam	02:00	TV 360
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App


	PSV Eindhoven		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	2.2
	3	3.6	2.25
	3.05	3.7	2.28
	3.15	3.73	2.33
	3.11	3.7	2.26	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.3
	3.11	3.71	2.36
	3.05	3.7	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.51)	3.67 ↓ (3.69)	2.28 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
31.3%

Draw
26.3%

Sporting Lisbon
42.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSV Eindhoven's form might have worsened.

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	32.7%	55.1%

PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 6 - 13%). Sporting will win (votes: 24 - 52.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 37.8% – 66.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez W. (G) 17. Mauro Junior 6. Flamingo R. 18. Boscagli O. 32. Dams M. 22. Schouten J. 20. Til G. 34. Saibari I. 11. Bakayoko J. 9. de Jong L. (C) 7. Tillman M.	1. Israel F. (G) 6. Debast Z. 25. Inacio G. 26. Diomande O. 21. Catamo G. 5. Morita H. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 11. Santos N. 17. Trincao 9. Gyokeres V. 57. Quenda G.
Substitutes
26. Babadi I. 21. Driouech C. 16. Drommel J. (G) 2. Karsdorp R. 28. Land T. 10. Lang N. 37. Ledezma R. 39. Nagalo A. 4. Obispo A. 14. Pepi R. 24. Schiks N. (G)	20. Araujo M. 23. Braganca D. 78. Couto M. 41. Diego Callai (G) 47. Esgaio R. 22. Fresneda I. 80. Gomes L. 19. Harder C. 13. Kovacevic V. (G) 72. Quaresma E.
Coaches
Bosz P.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Schouten J. ⚽,
22', Mauro Junior 🟨,
32', Diomande O. ↓, Quaresma E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Catamo G. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
53', Quenda G. 🟨,
64', Tillman M. 🟨,
65', Mauro Junior ↓, Karsdorp R. ↑,
65', Saibari I. ↓, Lang N. ↑,
78', Til G. ↓, Ledezma R. ↑,
80', Santos N. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
80', Trincao ↓, Araujo M. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Braganca D. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
86', Braganca D. 🟨,
87', Lang N. 🟨,
90+3', Bakayoko J. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,

Preview

PSV is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sporting is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sporting could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sporting: St. Juste J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Dest S. (Knee Injury) Lozano H. (Muscle Injury) Oppegard F. (Injury) Veerman J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting: Edwards M. (Injury) Goncalves P. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches PSV won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams PSV won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
28.09.24	Willem II - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Fortuna Sittard - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.24	Juventus - PSV Eindhoven	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.09.24	PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
27.09.24	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
22.09.24	Sporting Lisbon - AVS	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.24	Sporting Lisbon - Lille	2:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.09.24	Arouca - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
28.11.19	Sporting Lisbon - PSV Eindhoven	4:0
19.09.19	PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon	3:2
Club Friendly
18.07.16	PSV Eindhoven - Sporting Lisbon	5:0

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