Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Open TV
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, Sky Sport Max
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
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Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Metz		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	9	6.5	1.27	Watch
	10.5	6.8	1.23
	10.66	6.81	1.27
	10.11	6.56	1.25	Watch
	9.5	5.75	1.25
	9.67	6.63	1.29	Watch
	11	6.33	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.06 ↓ (10.24)	6.48 ↑ (6.39)	1.26 ↑ (1.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
9.5%

Draw
14.7%

Paris Saint-Germain
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.2%

14.8%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	12.8%	71.8%

Metz - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 6 - 15.8%). PSG will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fischer J. (G) 39. Kouao K. 5. Gbamin J. 15. Yegbe T. 2. Colin M. 20. Deminguet J. 8. Traore B. 11. Mbaye M. 10. Hein G. (C) 7. Tsitaishvili G. 30. Diallo H.	39. Safonov M. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W. 6. Zabarnyi I. 51. Pacho W. 21. Hernandez L. 17. Vitinha (C) 47. Ndjantou Q. 8. Ruiz F. 19. Lee Kang-In 9. Ramos G. 49. Mbaye I.
Substitutes
9. Abuashvili G. 40. Ba O. (G) 19. Bokele Mputu M. 24. Madjo B. 14. Sabaly C. 23. Sane I. 38. Sane S. 21. Stambouli B. 12. Toure A.	29. Barcola B. 4. Beraldo L. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 14. Doue D. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 89. Marin R. (G) 25. Mendes N. 87. Neves J.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', Mbaye M. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Ramos G. ⚽, Lee Kang-In (A),
39', 0 - 2, Ndjantou Q. ⚽, Mbaye I. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Deminguet J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ruiz F. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
63', 1 - 3, Doue D. ⚽, Mbaye I. (A),
66', Ndjantou Q. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
66', Ramos G. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
74', Yegbe T. ↓, Sane S. ↑,
75', Zaire-Emery W. 🟨,
80', 2 - 3, Tsitaishvili G. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
85', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
85', Mbaye M. ↓, Sabaly C. ↑,
85', Traore B. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
90+1', Mbaye I. ↓, Beraldo L. ↑,
90+3', Kouao K. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 0.

Metz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Metz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, PSG is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Sy P. (Concussion)

There will not play in PSG: Hakimi A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in PSG: Dembele O. (Illness) Marquinhos (Muscle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Metz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 9:42. (average 0.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 1:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
07.12.25	Auxerre - Metz	3:1 ✺
28.11.25	Metz - Rennes	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Brest - Metz	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Metz - Nice	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Nantes - Metz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLLWW
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Athletic Bilbao - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Rennes	5:0 ✺
29.11.25	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur	5:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
19.05.24	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
20.12.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	3:1
21.05.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	5:0
22.09.21	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
24.04.21	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	1:3
16.09.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	1:0
30.08.19	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2

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