Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Parma		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.1
	2.3	3.2	3.1
	2.3	3.15	3.05
	2.39	3.29	3.28
	2.25	3.2	3.2
	2.24	3.4	3.13	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.23)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	3.12 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
40.9%

Draw
29%

Frosinone
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.4%	22.2%	7.4%

Parma - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Frosinone will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Parma has the most likely position - 1 (16.96%), has project points - 64, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Frosinone has the most likely position - 2 (9.15%), has project points - 60, has currently - 12, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

This event has quality 42, importance 55, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Parma won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Parma will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Parma won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
17.09.22	Ascoli - Parma	1:3 ✺
10.09.22	Parma - Ternana	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Genoa - Parma	3:3 ✺
28.08.22	Parma - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Perugia - Parma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLTWT
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
17.09.22	Frosinone - Palermo	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Cittadella - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Frosinone - Como	2:0 ✺
28.08.22	Benevento - Frosinone	2:1 ✺
21.08.22	Frosinone - Brescia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.01.22	Parma - Frosinone	0:1
20.08.21	Frosinone - Parma	2:2
Coppa Italia
05.12.19	Parma - Frosinone	2:1
Italian Serie A
03.04.19	Frosinone - Parma	3:2
04.11.18	Parma - Frosinone	0:0
Italian Serie B
07.04.18	Parma - Frosinone	2:0
04.11.17	Frosinone - Parma	2:1

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