Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 18

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)


	Patronato Parana		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.00	4.75	Watch
	1.95	2.80	4.33
	2.06	2.95	3.95	Watch
	2.00	3.08	4.81
	1.95	2.97	4.69	Watch
	1.95	2.90	4.20
	1.88	2.90	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.12)	2.94 ↑ (2.78)	4.46 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
47.5%

Draw
31.6%

Atlético de Rafaela
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

33.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

32.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Patronato Parana - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa A. (C) 2. Diaz G. 3. Moreyra F. 6. Meritello F. 8. Salas J. 4. Rueda W. 5. Bravo F. 10. Barinaga J. P. 11. Miro A. 7. Barolin J. 9. Reynaga R.	1. Bergia M. (G) 2. Fernandez G. 3. Ramirez R. 4. Ramos N. 6. Ponce F. 11. Wuattier E. 5. Soloa F. (C) 9. Quiroga M. 7. Cainelli N. 8. Pardo M. 10. Moreno M.
Substitutes
20. Attis T. 15. Enrique M. 13. Evangelista F. 17. Genez N. 14. Heredia F. 16. Picco A. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 19. Rivero H. 18. Villarreal V.	19. Bonifacio J. 16. Capurro J. 17. Fernandez M. 20. Leineker C. 12. Martinez R. (G) 13. Mondino V. 14. Moscoloni L. 15. Nouet F. 18. Torrens J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Moreno M. 🟨,
25', Meritello F. 🟨,
29', Quiroga M. 🟨,
32', Cainelli N. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Salas J. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
57', Fernandez M. 🟨,
67', Reynaga R. ↓, Rivero H. ↑,
67', Barolin J. ↓, Attis T. ↑,
71', Wuattier E. 🟨,
73', Wuattier E. ↓, Bonifacio J. ↑,
73', Pardo M. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
75', Nouet F. 🟨,
82', Quiroga M. ↓, Leineker C. ↑,
86', Barinaga J. P. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Patronato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Patronato is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.06.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Patronato Parana - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Güemes - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Patronato Parana - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	San Martín de San Juan - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTLWT
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.06.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Quilmes - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.12.16	Atlético de Rafaela - Patronato Parana	3:0
29.04.16	Patronato Parana - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1
22.04.16	Atlético de Rafaela - Patronato Parana	3:1

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