The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 42.9%
Draw 29%
Unión Santa Fe 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
31.4%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
31.9%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patronato Parana's performance.
Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patronato Parana that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Patronato Parana - Unión Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Unión will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 13).
Patronato has the most likely position - 15 (6.29%), has project points - 36, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Unión Santa Fe has the most likely position - 8 (6.46%), has project points - 38, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality35, very small importance5, small match rating20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Patronato won 3.
Recent matches Patronato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Unión Santa Fe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Patronato will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Patronato won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.
Watch
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