Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 18

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Paysandú		La Luz

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.87	2.35
	2.80	2.82	2.42
	2.84	2.86	2.66
	3.01	3.03	2.46	Watch
	2.80	2.80	2.60
	2.93	2.90	2.41
	2.80	2.85	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.59)	2.88 ↓ (3.22)	2.47 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandú
31.7%

Draw
31.6%

La Luz
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.8%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.4%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Paysandú - La Luz Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paysandú will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). La Luz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paysandú (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Paysandú (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Paysandú (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paysandú (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 13).

Paysandú has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

La Luz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

La Luz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paysandú won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	La Luz	21	7	6	8	19:24	-5	27
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25

Last Results with these Odds

La Luz - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.09.26	Cerrito - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Paysandú - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Paysandú - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Paysandú	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTLL
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.09.26	La Luz - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	La Luz - Oriental de La Paz	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Colón Montevideo - La Luz	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.06.26	La Luz - Paysandú	1:2

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