Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 12

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Paysandú		Oriental de La Paz

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.20	2.10
	3.05	3.05	2.18
	3.17	3.2	2.33
	3.14	3.18	2.29	Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.25
	3.04	3.25	2.31
	3.05	3	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	2.23 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandú
29.8%

Draw
29.2%

Oriental de La Paz
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Paysandú - Oriental de La Paz Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Paysandú will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Oriental will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandú: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Lopez F. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Lopez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Oriental may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oriental will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paysandú won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oriental	21	8	8	5	29:22	7	32
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Paysandú	2:3 ✺
13.07.26	Paysandú - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Rentistas - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Paysandú - Miramar Misiones	2:3 ✺
20.06.26	Tacuarembó - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWLL
- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.07.26	Oriental de La Paz - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Oriental de La Paz - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Oriental de La Paz - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.04.26	Oriental de La Paz - Paysandú	1:0

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