Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 15

Date: 12 July 2024, Friday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Paysandu		Ceará

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	3	Watch
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.5	3	2.95
	2.6	3.1	3.1
	2.51	2.98	3.02	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.9
	2.47	3.13	2.94	Watch
	2.39	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.37)	3.05 ↓ (3.11)	2.96 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paysandu
37.7%

Draw
30.7%

Ceará
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

29.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	27.3%	27.3%

Paysandu - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 2. Edilson 23. Carlao 27. Lucas Maia 36. Kevyn 28. Leandro Vilela 8. Joao Vieira 10. Cazares 22. Jean Dias 11. Nicolas (C) 15. Garcia E.	1. Richard (G) 5. Jean Irmer 42. Matheus Felipe 6. Ramos R. 79. Matheus Bahia 40. Ramon Menezes (C) 8. De Lucca 11. Aylon 10. Lucas Mugni 16. Erick Pulga 73. Saulo Mineiro
Substitutes
21. Bryan 18. Edinho 40. Iago Hass (G) 14. Juninho 35. Luan Freitas 13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 16. Michel Macedo 5. Netinho 9. Paulinho Boia 20. Robinho 26. Ruan Ribeiro 30. Val Soares	31. Barcelo F. 94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 15. Gabriel Lacerda 45. Kaique Rodrigues 80. Leo Rafael 12. Maycon Cleiton (G) 21. Paulo Victor 2. Rai Ramos 28. Recalde J. 26. Richardson 96. Yago Lincoln
Coaches
Helio dos Anjos	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Nicolas ⚽, Cazares (A),
36', 1 - 1, Ramos R. ⚽, Erick Pulga (A),
40', Saulo Mineiro 🟨,
45+2', Erick Pulga 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Jean Dias 🟨,
63', Garcia E. ↓, Paulinho Boia ↑,
63', Jean Dias ↓, Edinho ↑,
64', Kevyn 🟨,
69', Cazares ↓, Netinho ↑,
69', Edilson ↓, Michel Macedo ↑,
75', Aylon ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
75', Lucas Mugni ↓, Richardson ↑,
76', Jean Irmer 🟨,
82', Leandro Vilela ↓, Val Soares ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Val Soares ⚽, Edinho (A),
90', Diogo Silva 🟨,
90+3', Jean Irmer ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
90+3', Matheus Bahia ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 1.

Paysandu is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceará is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paysandu will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Ceará: Daniel Mazerochi (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie B
07.07.24	Coritiba - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Paysandu - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Chapecoense - Paysandu	1:2 ✺
18.06.24	Paysandu - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	Ituano - Paysandu	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTWTW
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
05.07.24	Ceará - Santos	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Ceará - Ituano	4:2 ✺
25.06.24	Ponte Preta - Ceará	3:1 ✺
20.06.24	Ceará - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	Brusque - Ceará	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.11.17	Ceará - Paysandu	2:0
28.07.17	Paysandu - Ceará	1:2
20.08.16	Paysandu - Ceará	2:0
14.05.16	Ceará - Paysandu	2:2
01.09.15	Ceará - Paysandu	0:0
23.05.15	Paysandu - Ceará	2:1
10.09.13	Paysandu - Ceará	2:1

Upcoming Matches