Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Almeida N. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Paços de Ferreira		Nacional

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.55
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.6	3.25	2.65
	2.71	3.4	2.74
	2.71	3.16	2.78
	2.38	3.25	2.62
	2.51	3.34	2.61	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.46)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	2.63 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
36%

Draw
28.7%

Nacional
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Paços de Ferreira - Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Marafona (C) 21. Neves A. 23. Ferigra E. 4. Ganchas P. 14. Rocha S. 22. Luiz Carlos 29. Gorby 9. Ze Uilton 8. Welton 77. Cipenga B. 19. Fonte R.	37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 4. Paulo Vitor 40. Ulisses 5. Jose Gomes 8. Danilovic V. 10. Esteves L. 11. Witi 28. Carlos Daniel 77. Gustavo 9. Ramirez J.
Substitutes
5. Antunes V. 20. Bastos L. 30. Costinha 10. Djalo M. 12. Jeimes (G) 7. Miguel 97. Pablo 17. Paulo M. 18. Ribeiro T.	71. Diga 99. Dudu 1. Encarnacao R. (G) 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 3. Pola J. 18. Sousa A. 55. Sousa A.
Coaches
Silva R.	Margarido T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Ulisses 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Carlos Daniel ⚽,
45', Ramirez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Welton ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Djalo M. ⚽, Rocha S. (A),
67', Witi ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
74', Fonte R. ↓, Pablo ↑,
74', Ze Uilton ↓, Costinha ↑,
77', Cipenga B. 🟨,
84', Carlos Daniel ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
84', Gustavo ↓, Dudu ↑,
84', Rocha S. ↓, Antunes V. ↑,
84', Jose Gomes ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
85', Luiz Carlos 🟨,
90+1', Ulisses ↓, Pola J. ↑,
90+4', Paulo Vitor 🟨,
90+6', Ferigra E. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 2.

Paços de Ferreira in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paços de Ferreira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
07.04.24	Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Académico de Viseu - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Vilaverdense - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWTWW
- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.24	Nacional - AVS	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Leiria - Nacional	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Santa Clara - Nacional	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Nacional - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Oliveirense - Nacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
02.12.23	Nacional - Paços de Ferreira	2:1
Liga Portugal
05.03.21	Paços de Ferreira - Nacional	2:1
24.10.20	Nacional - Paços de Ferreira	1:1
13.03.17	Nacional - Paços de Ferreira	1:1
Portuguese League Cup
25.10.16	Paços de Ferreira - Nacional	4:0
Liga Portugal
21.10.16	Paços de Ferreira - Nacional	1:1
26.02.16	Nacional - Paços de Ferreira	3:0

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