Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 7

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Paços de Ferreira		Leça

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.20	2.55
	2.48	3.00	2.65
	2.69	3.25	2.57
	2.6	3.33	2.6	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.50
	2.45	3.24	2.47
	2.45	3.15	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.9)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.55 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
36%

Draw
28.4%

Leça
35.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paços de Ferreira's form might have worsened.

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leça's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Paços de Ferreira - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 8th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Leça is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Leça may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 3
11.10.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Paços de Ferreira - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Vianense - Paços de Ferreira	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.08.26	Paços de Ferreira - Fafe	0:1 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Paços de Ferreira - Varzim	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTLL
- Leça FC
Taça de Portugal
17.10.26	Penafiel - Leça	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
10.10.26	Leça - Marco 09	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Mortágua - Leça	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.26	Trofense - Leça	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Leça - Fafe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWL

Paços de Ferreira - Leça: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Paços de Ferreira - Leça Predictions

Preview

Form

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