The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Penafiel 27.7%
Draw 29.8%
Académico de Viseu 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
28.5%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.8%
27.9%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Penafiel - Académico de Viseu Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Viseu will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Femenias J. (G) 27. Negrao G. 3. Mere J. 4. Miguel J. (C) 2. lano Imbene 21. Pedro Sa 8. Reko 7. Anzai S. 37. Davo 75. Alloh T. 95. Sery J.
75. Gril D. (G) 9. Robinho 6. Ceitil A. 44. Pereira R. 57. Costa G. 7. Silva L. (C) 26. Kaua Vinicius 31. Joao Guilherme 17. Kahraman C. 32. Zamora A. 33. Andre Clovis
Substitutes
19. Alcaina R. 61. Injai M. 17. Kebe I. 33. Moreira C. 1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 14. Pereira B. 9. Rodrigues D. 28. Schutte R. 34. Ze Leite
1. Bruno Brigido (G) 21. Domingos T. 47. Gohi L. 8. Kone S. 66. Milioransa I. 22. Mortimer N. 78. Silva B. 55. Silva T. 11. Steczyk D.
Coaches
Aira J.
Fonseca S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Sery J. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Kahraman C. ⚽,
19', Alloh T. 🟨,
22', 2 - 1, Davo ⚽,
32', 3 - 1, Davo ⚽,
45', Pedro Sa 🟨,
45', Sery J. 🟨,
45+2', Negrao G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ceitil A. ↓, Mortimer N. ↑,
46', Sery J. ↓, Alcaina R. ↑,
46', Negrao G. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
46', Joao Guilherme ↓, Gohi L. ↑,
60', 3 - 2, Andre Clovis ⚽,
64', 3 - 3, Mortimer N. ⚽,
67', Alloh T. ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
67', Mere J. ↓, Moreira C. ↑,
79', Reko 🟨,
82', Kahraman C. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
85', 4 - 3, Gril D. (Own goal),
85', Gohi L. 🟨,
88', Davo 🟨,
89', Zamora A. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
90', Kaua Vinicius ↓, Steczyk D. ↑,
90+1', Davo ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
90+2', Silva L. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Viseu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).