Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Santa Clara		Leixões

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	7.5
	1.57	3.4	5.75
	1.6	3.6	6
	1.55	3.55	6.2
	1.61	3.77	6.7
	1.5	3.4	6
	1.62	3.6	5.88
	1.56	3.35	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)	3.51 ↓ (3.82)	6.28 ↑ (6.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
58.9%

Draw
26.4%

Leixões
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24.8%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

24.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Santa Clara - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: Santa Clara will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (G) 6. Velazquez S. 4. Pacheco P. 16. Henrique P. (C) 42. Lucas Soares 8. Ferreira P. 77. Klismahn G. 32. MT 10. Ricardinho 30. Safira 70. Vinicius Lopes	87. Ribeiro R. (G) 4. Leo Bolgado 43. Danrlei 92. Rafael 61. Amorim Gomes J. F. 25. Wakaso A. 27. Fabinho (C) 15. Simaozinho 10. Paulite 84. Adriano Amorim 7. Conceicao M.
Substitutes
18. Ageu E. 19. Almeida B. 11. Andrezinho 82. Conceicao K. 74. Diaz M. (G) 2. Diogo Calila 49. Gabriel Silva 99. Rafael Martins 21. Semedo Y.	88. Agostinho 44. Avto 8. Freitas R. 19. Marufdeen M. 70. Oliveira J. 80. Renato Luis 51. Stefanovic I. (G) 85. Teixeira R. 13. Zagbayou H.
Coaches
Pires L.	Fangueiro C.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 1.

Santa Clara is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leixões is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leixões could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Clara won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
21.01.24	Torreense - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Leiria - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.24	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.01.24	Santa Clara - Mafra	0:1 ✺
22.12.23	Belenenses - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLT
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
21.01.24	Leixões - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
12.01.24	Leixões - Oliveirense	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	AVS - Leixões	1:3 ✺
30.12.23	Leixões - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
23.12.23	Porto - Leixões	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
21.08.23	Leixões - Santa Clara	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
23.11.22	Leixões - Santa Clara	2:1
Taça de Portugal
22.11.19	Leixões - Santa Clara	1:4
Club Friendly
19.07.19	Leixões - Santa Clara	1:0
18.07.18	Leixões - Santa Clara	1:1
Portuguese Liga 2
07.04.18	Leixões - Santa Clara	1:0
05.11.17	Santa Clara - Leixões	1:1

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