Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Peniche		União de Coimbra

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	8.75
	1.6	3.95	4.5
	1.61	3.7	4.82
	1.6	3.95	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.3)	4.15 ↓ (4.5)	5.64 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peniche
61.2%

Draw
22.4%

União de Coimbra
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

19.4%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

18.1%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peniche's form might have worsened.

União de Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peniche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Coimbra than the current prediction. (-4%)

Peniche - União de Coimbra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', 🟥,
79', 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

União de Coimbra is Relegated to

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Peniche is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Peniche won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 2.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Peniche won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.04.25	Marinhense - Peniche	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Peniche - Pombal	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Peniche - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Alcains - Peniche	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Peniche - Os Marialvas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTWT
- União de Coimbra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.04.25	União de Coimbra - SB Castelo Branco	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Alcains - União de Coimbra	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	União de Coimbra - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Mortágua - União de Coimbra	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	União de Coimbra - Arronches Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.01.25	União de Coimbra - Peniche	0:4
10.03.24	União de Coimbra - Peniche	0:1
12.11.23	Peniche - União de Coimbra	2:1

Peniche - União de Coimbra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide