Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 13

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Penrhiwceiber Rangers		Carmarthen Town

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.2	1.56
	4.26	4.17	1.58
	4.5	4.31	1.64
	4.65	4.2	1.55
	4.6	4.2	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (2.91)	4.22 ↑ (3.69)	1.58 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20.3%

Draw
21.7%

Carmarthen Town
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

24.6%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

22.7%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penrhiwceiber Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penrhiwceiber Rangers's form might have worsened.

Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carmarthen Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhiwceiber Rangers than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penrhiwceiber Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carmarthen Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Carmarthen Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Welsh Cymru South
25.10.24	Newport City - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	1:3 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
19.10.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Carmarthen Town	3:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
12.10.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Taffs Well AFC	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Pontypridd United	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Baglan Dragons - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45 WWWLW
- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
25.10.24	Carmarthen Town - Llantwit Major	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
19.10.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Carmarthen Town	3:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
12.10.24	Trefelin - Carmarthen Town	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Afan Lido - Carmarthen Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
19.10.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Carmarthen Town	3:0

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