Match Info

Super League - Round 18

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Mandala Krida Stadium (Yogyakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	PSIM Yogyakarta		Persebaya Surabaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3	2.72	Watch
	2.52	3.17	2.97
	2.45	3.19	2.87	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.8
	2.53	3.1	2.85	Watch
	2.42	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.34)	3.08 ↓ (3.17)	2.83 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

PSIM Yogyakarta
37.5%

Draw
29.9%

Persebaya Surabaya
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.3%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

29.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSIM Yogyakarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSIM Yogyakarta than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

PSIM Yogyakarta - Persebaya Surabaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. PSIM Yogyakarta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Persebaya will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - PSIM Yogyakarta (2.12) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. PSIM Yogyakarta (votes: 1 - 25%). Persebaya (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Supriadi C. (G) 15. Cahyana R. 14. Teddy R. 5. Setyo A. 35. Adi R. (C) 88. Sudin F. 63. Rakhmatzoda R. 11. Vidal E. 10. Ze Valente 7. Corfe D. 99. Haljeta N.	21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 5. Mitrevski R. 24. Lelis L. S. 17. Jefferson 88. Raickovic M. 68. Firmansyah T. 7. Rivera F. 22. Freitas Gali 77. Malik R. 10. Bruno (C)
Substitutes
27. Abiyoso R. 77. Botan K. 47. Fikri K. (G) 29. Hardiawan R. 6. Iqbal M. 17. Irfan A. 8. Sheva S.	33. Araya K. 81. Baihaqi M. 83. Bruno Paraiba 16. Diego Matos 8. Fernando O. 53. Irianto R. 18. May R. 55. Putra S. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 12. Suaib A. 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.
Coaches
van Gastel J.	Tavares B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Lelis L. S. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Freitas Gali ⚽, Bruno (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Firmansyah T. ↓, Irianto R. ↑,
63', Sudin F. ↓, Abiyoso R. ↑,
67', Setyo A. ↓, Sheva S. ↑,
71', Freitas Gali ↓, Bruno Paraiba ↑,
71', Raickovic M. ↓, Diego Matos ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Bruno Paraiba ⚽, Jefferson (A),
77', Adi R. 🟨,
77', Teddy R. ↓, Hardiawan R. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Irianto R. ⚽,
90+2', Ari E. ↓, Ramadhani A. ↑,
90+2', Catur A. ↓, Araya K. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)

In recent matches, PSIM Yogyakarta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Persebaya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, PSIM Yogyakarta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home match between the teams, PSIM Yogyakarta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Persebaya	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
14	PSIM Yogyakarta	4	0	1	3	2:8	-6	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSIM Yogyakarta
Indonesian Super League
10.01.26	Madura United - PSIM Yogyakarta	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	PSIM Yogyakarta - Semen Padang	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	PSIM Yogyakarta - PSBS Biak Numfor	2:2 ✺
23.12.25	Persijap Jepara - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Persija Jakarta - PSIM Yogyakarta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTTL
- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
10.01.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Java United	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Madura United - Persebaya Surabaya	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Persijap Jepara	4:0 ✺
20.12.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Borneo Samarinda	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	PSM Makassar - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
08.08.25	Persebaya Surabaya - PSIM Yogyakarta	0:1
Club Friendly
17.07.22	Persebaya Surabaya - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:0
Indonesian Championship
16.08.17	Persebaya Surabaya - PSIM Yogyakarta	2:1
18.05.17	PSIM Yogyakarta - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1

PSIM Yogyakarta - Persebaya Surabaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide