What is the expert prediction for Semen Padang vs Persik Kediri?

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Semen Padang vs Persik Kediri Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, May 08, 2026)

Match Info

Super League - Round 32

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim (Padang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio


	Semen Padang		Persik Kediri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.35	3.4	1.92	Watch
	3.82	3.73	1.94
	3.55	3.48	2	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.91
	3.53	3.46	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.88)	3.47 ↑ (3.32)	1.93 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Semen Padang
26%

Draw
26.4%

Persik Kediri
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.7%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

26.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Semen Padang's form might have worsened.

Persik Kediri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persik Kediri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Semen Padang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persik Kediri than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persik Kediri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Semen Padang will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Persik Kediri will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Oscario R. (G) 2. Tsouka R. 4. Giraldo J. 24. Meneses A. (C) 5. Gufron A. 3. Kristiano A. 8. Ariansyah R. 10. Froese K. 63. Wahyudi R. 88. Maulana I. 9. Guillermo	1. Leo Navacchio (G) 19. Sanjaya R. 85. Firly M. 16. Hehanusa H. (C) 14. Hehanussa R. 6. Bayu Otto 4. Garcia I. 8. Castanheira T. 66. Luna A. 21. Jose Enrique 7. Gomez E.
Substitutes
25. Afandi Z. 26. Agong W. 113. Azhhari G. 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 22. Botan K. 13. Diego Mauricio 15. Juliansyah F. 17. Maicon Souza 99. Putra F. (G) 14. Saputra D. 31. Setiawan R. 12. Simanjuntak S.	17. Abimanyu S. 33. Al Malik H. (G) 22. Herdiana H. 11. Jayanto A. E. 55. Meneses Chechu 99. Munawar Y. 77. Ray R. 90. Rodrigo Dias 23. Supriadi M. 42. Yagalo V.
Coaches
Nahumarury I.	Reina M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Jose Enrique ⚽, Luna A. (A),
6', Luna A. 🟨,
37', Tsouka R. ↓, Afandi Z. ↑,
37', Ariansyah R. ↓, Setiawan R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sanjaya R. ↓, Yagalo V. ↑,
46', Gufron A. ↓, Botan K. ↑,
46', Kristiano A. ↓, Simanjuntak S. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Jose Enrique ⚽,
55', 0 - 3, Luna A. ⚽, Gomez E. (A),
66', Jose Enrique ↓, Rodrigo Dias ↑,
66', Bayu Otto ↓, Supriadi M. ↑,
66', Luna A. ↓, Abimanyu S. ↑,
67', Froese K. ↓, Juliansyah F. ↑,
72', Yagalo V. 🟨,
83', Juliansyah F. 🟨,
87', Castanheira T. ↓, Jayanto A. E. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Semen Padang is Relegated to

Semen Padang has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Persik Kediri's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Persik Kediri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Persik Kediri could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Semen Padang won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Persik Kediri	32	11	6	15	41:53	-12	39
17	Semen Padang ✔	33	5	5	23	22:62	-40	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Semen Padang
Indonesian Super League
03.05.26	Dewa United - Semen Padang	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Semen Padang - Madura United	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Borneo Samarinda - Semen Padang	3:0 ✺
20.04.26	Semen Padang - Persijap Jepara	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Persis Solo - Semen Padang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Persik Kediri
Indonesian Super League
03.05.26	Persik Kediri - Arema	3:2 ✺
29.04.26	Persik Kediri - Borneo Samarinda	0:1 ✺
23.04.26	PSM Makassar - Persik Kediri	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Persik Kediri - Persita Tangerang	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Madura United - Persik Kediri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
27.11.25	Persik Kediri - Semen Padang	2:1
18.05.25	Semen Padang - Persik Kediri	1:1
21.12.24	Persik Kediri - Semen Padang	3:1
25.05.14	Semen Padang - Persik Kediri	3:0
16.04.14	Persik Kediri - Semen Padang	1:2

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