The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Western United 51.4%
Draw 23.4%
Brisbane Roar 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
24.7%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
24.8%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western United's performance.
Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Roar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Roar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.3%
3.9%
4.7%
Western United - Brisbane Roar Predictions
Users Predictions:
Western United will win
(115 of 126 users predict this - 91.27%). Confidence interval (95%): 86.34% โ 96.2%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Sutton M. (G) 13. Russell T. 6. Imai T. (C) 30. Leonard D. 29. Shamoon C. A. 77. Danzaki R. 23. Bozinovski R. 32. Thurgate A. 20. Walatee A. 9. Ibusuki H. 19. Botic N.
1. Freke M. (G) 17. Van Der Saag H. 15. Bility H. 12. Herrington L. 21. Burke-Gilroy A. 8. Shour W. 26. O'Shea J. (C) 27. Halloran B. 18. Brazete J. 23. Jelacic K. 16. Waddingham T.
Substitutes
10. Grimaldi M. 1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 44. Lauton J. 14. Najdovski J. 7. Najjarine R. 24. Ruhs M. 22. Vidmar K.
29. Acton M. (G) 10. Berenguer F. 19. Hingert J. 2. Neville S. 7. Struick R. 35. Zabala L. 43. Zimarino A.
Coaches
Aloisi J.
Zadkovich R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Shour W. 🟨,
35', Halloran B. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Ibusuki H. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Danzaki R. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
56', Shour W. ↓, Zabala L. ↑,
56', Jelacic K. ↓, Berenguer F. ↑,
56', Brazete J. ↓, Zimarino A. ↑,
73', Walatee A. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
73', Botic N. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
79', Van Der Saag H. ↓, Hingert J. ↑,
83', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
85', Waddingham T. ↓, Struick R. ↑,
86', Herrington L. 🟨,
88', Hingert J. 🟨,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Western United won 2.
Western United is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Brisbane is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Western United will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Western United: Garuccio B.
(Calf Injury)
Kaddour K.
(Knee Injury)
Pasquali S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J.
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Brisbane: Neville S.
(Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Western United won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:10 (average 1.3:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Western United won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1:0.6).
Australia
Cambodia
Finland
Hong-kong
India
Japan
Laos
Macao
New-zealand
Philippines
Singapore
South-korea
Thailand
Turkey
United-kingdom
Usa
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Sutton M. (G) 
Imai T. (C) 
Shamoon C. A. 
Shour W. 
O'Shea J. (C) 
Najdovski J. 
Berenguer F. 
Hingert J. 
Struick R. 
