The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perugia 24.7%
Draw 25.7%
Monza 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.7%
28.4%
44.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
28.3%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
19.4%
63.9%
Perugia - Monza Predictions
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). Monza will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 19.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 48.2% โ 79.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
Perugia has the most likely position - 9 (58.02%), has project points - 56, has currently - 55, has not chance of relegated, has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Monza has the most likely position - 2 (61.61%), has project points - 69, has currently - 67, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a good chance of promoted (84%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
This event has quality38, importance53, match rating45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Perugia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Monza is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Monza will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
Watch
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