Match Info

Date: 7 March 2020, Saturday


	Perugia		Salernitana

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.75
	2.25	2.85	3.75	Watch
	2.15	2.89	3.34
	2.31	2.93	3.78
	2.15	3.1	3.6
	2.18	3.1	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.17)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)	3.65 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
42.7%

Draw
31.5%

Salernitana
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

18.9%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salernitana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Perugia - Salernitana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie B
03.03.20	Perugia - Benevento	1:2 ✺
29.02.20	Pisa - Perugia	1:0 ✺
24.02.20	Perugia - Empoli	0:1 ✺
16.02.20	Frosinone - Perugia	1:0 ✺
08.02.20	Perugia - Spezia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
03.03.20	Salernitana - Venezia	2:0 ✺
29.02.20	Frosinone - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
23.02.20	Salernitana - Livorno	1:0 ✺
17.02.20	Chievo - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
10.02.20	Salernitana - Trapani	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.10.19	Salernitana - Perugia	1:1
03.03.19	Perugia - Salernitana	3:1
21.10.18	Salernitana - Perugia	2:1
01.05.18	Perugia - Salernitana	1:1
09.12.17	Salernitana - Perugia	1:1
18.05.17	Perugia - Salernitana	3:2
30.12.16	Salernitana - Perugia	2:1

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