Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia (Pescara)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Pescara		Mantova

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.3
	2.04	3.55	3.83
	2.02	3.59	3.45	Watch
	2	3.5	3.25
	1.97	3.63	3.73	Watch
	2.05	3.33	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.4)	3.51 ↓ (3.55)	3.55 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pescara
46.8%

Draw
26.7%

Mantova
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pescara's performance.

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mantova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pescara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	50%	7.1%

Pescara - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pescara will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pescara (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Desplanches S. (G) 26. Gravillon A. 13. Brosco R. (C) 6. Bettella D. 27. Olzer G. 21. Caligara F. 14. Valzania L. 3. Letizia G. 33. Oliveri A. 15. Tonin R. 9. Di Nardo A.	24. Bardi F. (G) 36. Paoletti F. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 17. Radaelli N. 21. Trimboli S. 10. Wieser D. 15. Goncalves T. 23. Marras T. 19. Ruocco F. 7. Mensah D. (C)
Substitutes
36. Berardi L. 5. Brandes J. 8. Brugman G. 2. Capellini R. 95. Corbo G. 40. D'Emilio F F. (G) 11. Insigne L. 7. Meazzi L. 17. Okwonkwo O. 22. Saio I. (G) 18. Sgarbi L.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 6. Bani C. 50. Benaissa-Yahia F. 30. Bragantini D. 77. Buso N. 5. Chrysopoulos K. 80. Kouda R. 96. Maggioni T. 9. Mancuso L. 3. Mantovani V. 34. Vukovic A. (G) 98. Zuccon F.
Coaches
Gorgone G.	Modesto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Ruocco F. (Penalty Awarded),
30', 1 - 1, Caligara F. ⚽, Letizia G. (A),
37', Goncalves T. 🟨,
44', Radaelli N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Olzer G. 🟨,
58', Brosco R. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Ruocco F. ⚽, Mensah D. (A),
61', Brosco R. ↓, Capellini R. ↑,
61', Tonin R. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
64', Mensah D. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
68', Gorgone G. 🟥,
69', Meazzi L. 🟨,
70', Ruocco F. 🟨,
73', Ruocco F. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
73', Goncalves T. ↓, Bani C. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Meazzi L. ⚽, Gravillon A. (A),
79', Oliveri A. ↓, Sgarbi L. ↑,
80', Caligara F. ↓, Brugman G. ↑,
81', Marras T. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
81', Wieser D. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
86', Di Nardo A. ↓, Okwonkwo O. ↑,
87', Gravillon A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Pescara is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mantova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Pescara: Kraja E. (Inactive) Pellacani F. (Knee Injury) Tsadjout F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Mantova: Artioli F. (Inactive) Bonfanti N. (Inactive) Caprini M. (Inactive) Maggioni T. (Inactive) Mantovani V. (Calf Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pescara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Pescara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Mantova: 2.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Mantova - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.82%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pescara
Italian Serie B
24.01.26	Monza - Pescara	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Pescara - Modena	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Juve Stabia - Pescara	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Spezia - Pescara	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Pescara - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLTLW
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
24.01.26	Mantova - Venezia	2:5 ✺
17.01.26	Padova - Mantova	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Mantova - Palermo	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Carrarese - Mantova	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Mantova - Empoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
30.08.25	Mantova - Pescara	2:1
Coppa Italia
11.08.19	Pescara - Mantova	3:2

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