Match Info

Serie B - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Mantova		Venezia

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.56	Watch
	4.6	4.1	1.63
	5.3	4.15	1.55	Watch
	5.57	4.2	1.61
	5.27	4.28	1.56	Watch
	5	3.9	1.53
	5.06	4.15	1.59	Watch
	5.33	4.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (4.89)	4.1 ↓ (4.18)	1.58 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mantova
17.9%

Draw
22.8%

Venezia
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

22.4%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

22%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.2%	93.7%

Mantova - Venezia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Venezia (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Venezia will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Venezia will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bardi F. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 36. Paoletti F. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 15. Goncalves T. 23. Marras T. 21. Trimboli S. 10. Wieser D. 19. Ruocco F. 7. Mensah D. (C)	1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 4. Franjic B. 16. Venturi M. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 6. Busio G. (C) 8. Doumbia I. 20. Sagrado R. 10. Yeboah J. 9. Adorante A.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 2. Bianay Balcot C. 30. Bragantini D. 77. Buso N. 5. Chrysopoulos K. 18. Falletti C. 80. Kouda R. 9. Mancuso L. 33. Marai C. 34. Vukovic A. (G) 98. Zuccon F.	37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. . Compagnon M. 32. Duncan A. . Farji M. 7. Fila D. 23. Grandi M. (G) 5. Haps R. 2. Korac S. 24. Lella N. 99. Pietrelli A. 48. Sidibe A.
Coaches
Modesto F.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Adorante A. ⚽, Franjic B. (A),
33', 0 - 2, Yeboah J. ⚽, Sagrado R. (A),
40', 1 - 2, Marras T. ⚽, Ruocco F. (A),
45+1', Trimboli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Radaelli N. ↓, Bianay Balcot C. ↑,
52', Bianay Balcot C. ↓, Chrysopoulos K. ↑,
53', Venturi M. 🟨,
55', Wieser D. 🟨,
59', 1 - 3, Doumbia I. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
64', Hainaut A. 🟨,
65', Venturi M. ↓, Korac S. ↑,
70', Ruocco F. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
70', Wieser D. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
74', 1 - 4, Adorante A. ⚽, Korac S. (A),
77', Sagrado R. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
77', Adorante A. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
78', Yeboah J. ↓, Pietrelli A. ↑,
81', 2 - 4, Mensah D. ⚽,
84', Goncalves T. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
90+1', Perez K. ↓, Duncan A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 5, Chrysopoulos K. (Own goal),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0.

Recent performances by Mantova have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Venezia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Venezia is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Mantova: Artioli F. (Inactive) Bonfanti N. (Inactive) Caprini M. (Inactive) Maggioni T. (Inactive) Mantovani V. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B. (Inactive) Conde C. (Broken Leg) Plizzari A. (Inactive) Svoboda M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Mantova: Mensah D. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 2:15. (average 0.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
17.01.26	Padova - Mantova	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Mantova - Palermo	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Carrarese - Mantova	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Mantova - Empoli	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cesena - Mantova	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTLL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
17.01.26	Venezia - Catanzaro	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Reggiana - Venezia	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Venezia - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Modena - Venezia	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Venezia - Monza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Venezia - Mantova	3:0
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Venezia - Mantova	4:0
Italian Serie C Group B
30.12.16	Venezia - Mantova	3:1
03.09.16	Mantova - Venezia	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
13.08.16	Venezia - Mantova	1:0
Italian Serie C Group A
30.01.15	Venezia - Mantova	1:0
13.09.14	Mantova - Venezia	0:1

Upcoming Matches