Match Info

League One - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Weston Homes Stadium (Peterborough)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Peterborough United		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.95	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.98	Watch
	2.42	3.31	3.09
	2.44	3.17	2.78	Watch
	2.35	3.21	3.01	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.44)	3.22 ↑ (3.17)	2.93 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
39.1%

Draw
29%

AFC Wimbledon
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.1%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	15.4%	53.8%

Peterborough United - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Peterborough (1.77) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Peterborough (1.77) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 7 - 70%). Wimbledon (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bass A. (G) 30. Kioso P. (C) 12. Lees T. 29. O'Connor T. 23. Mills H. 4. Collins A. 16. Woods B. 10. Odoh A. 28. Garbett M. 17. Lisbie K. 27. Leonard H.	1. Bishop N. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 29. Sasu A. 12. Smith A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 11. Browne M. 3. Seddon S. 7. Orsi-Dadomo D. 9. Bugiel O.
Substitutes
11. Frith D. 2. Johnston C. 19. Lindgren G. 7. Lolos K. 24. Morgan J. 26. Okagbue D. 21. Reyes V. (G)	2. Asiimwe N. 15. Bauer P. 16. Hackford A. 26. Harbottle R. 5. Hutchinson S. 8. Maycock C. 20. McDonnell J. (G)
Coaches
Williams L.	Jackson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Leonard H. ⚽, Kioso P. (A),
15', Ogundere I. 🟨,
16', 2 - 0, Leonard H. (Pen),
22', O'Connor T. 🟨,
36', 3 - 0, Lisbie K. ⚽, Garbett M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ogundere I. ↓, Asiimwe N. ↑,
46', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
48', Kioso P. 🟨,
73', Leonard H. ↓, Lindgren G. ↑,
74', Odoh A. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
74', Garbett M. ↓, Morgan J. ↑,
77', 4 - 0, Lindgren G. ⚽,
78', Lisbie K. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
79', Browne M. ↓, Hutchinson S. ↑,
80', Sasu A. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
85', Kioso P. ↓, Johnston C. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 0, Lindgren G. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Hayes C. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mendy J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Peterborough: Frith D. (Knee Injury) Garbett M. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Peterborough United - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Peterborough United - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Burton Albion - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.09.25	Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWLW
- AFC Wimbledon
English FA Cup
01.11.25	AFC Wimbledon - Gateshead	0:2 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	AFC Wimbledon - Burton Albion	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Plymouth Argyle - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.07.24	Peterborough United - AFC Wimbledon	0:1
English EFL Trophy
30.01.24	Peterborough United - AFC Wimbledon	3:1
English League One
20.02.21	Peterborough United - AFC Wimbledon	3:0
02.12.20	AFC Wimbledon - Peterborough United	2:1
18.01.20	AFC Wimbledon - Peterborough United	1:0
28.09.19	Peterborough United - AFC Wimbledon	3:2
12.03.19	AFC Wimbledon - Peterborough United	1:0

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