Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Weston Homes Stadium (Peterborough)

Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)


	Peterborough United		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	4.75
	1.68	3.9	4.5
	1.7	4	4.75
	1.67	3.85	4.5
	1.72	4.07	4.73
	1.7	3.9	4.5
	1.73	4.15	4.65	Watch
	1.7	3.9	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)	3.97 ↑ (3.65)	4.62 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
55.6%

Draw
23.9%

Accrington Stanley
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25.4%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

28%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Peterborough United - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: Peterborough United will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 17).

Peterborough has the most likely position - 7 (9.93%), has project points - 74, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Accrington has the most likely position - 20 (9.57%), has project points - 49, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 20, small importance 29, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Peterborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Accrington have a series of home games.

In this match Peterborough is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English League One
22.10.22	Oxford United - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Peterborough United	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Peterborough United	3:1 ✺
11.10.22	Peterborough United - Forest Green Rovers	4:1 ✺
08.10.22	Peterborough United - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWT
- Accrington Stanley
English League One
22.10.22	Accrington Stanley - Bolton Wanderers	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Accrington Stanley - Liverpool U21	3:2 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Accrington Stanley - Derby County	0:3 ✺
08.10.22	Plymouth Argyle - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Accrington Stanley - Morecambe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
27.03.21	Peterborough United - Accrington Stanley	7:0
12.09.20	Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United	2:0
28.01.20	Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United	0:2
23.10.19	Peterborough United - Accrington Stanley	4:0
29.12.18	Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United	0:4
20.10.18	Peterborough United - Accrington Stanley	0:1

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