The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 66.3%
Draw 20.1%
Forest Green Rovers 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.7%
23.3%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
23%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.
Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81%
4.8%
14.3%
Peterborough United - Forest Green Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
Peterborough United will win
(34 of 42 users predict this - 80.95%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.07% – 92.83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Peterborough has the most likely position - 7 (9.51%), has project points - 73, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Forest Green has the most likely position - 23 (17.39%), has project points - 42, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (58%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality17, small importance27, small match rating22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Peterborough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Forest Green is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Peterborough is certain favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.