The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 36.7%
Draw 28.9%
Rotherham United 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
29.1%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
28.1%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.3%
20%
26.7%
Port Vale - Rotherham United Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Rotherham will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 28.1% – 78.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Gauci J. (G) 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 24. Kyle John 25. Humphreys C. 15. Gordon L. 18. Croasdale R. 12. Walters R. 33. Hall G. 8. Garrity B. (C) 11. Archer E. 21. Sherif M.
13. Cann T. (C) 2. Rafferty J. 15. Baptiste J. 3. Jules Z. 6. James R. 19. Benson J. 4. Kelly L. 11. Martha A. 20. Watmore D. 24. Gray H. 10. Nombe S.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 27. Campbell E. 45. Gray A. 5. Hall C. 26. Shipley J. 9. Stockley J. 19. Waine B.
41. Ayres J. 29. Biancheri G. 50. Childs B. (G) 28. Cover B. 26. Douglas H. 22. Hall D. 23. Holmes J.
Coaches
Brady J.
Clark L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Croasdale R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Croasdale R. 🟨,
61', Sherif M. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
61', Croasdale R. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
61', Archer E. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
63', Martha A. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
72', Rafferty J. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
77', Watmore D. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
87', Gordon L. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
88', Hall G. ↓, Campbell E. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Rotherham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Headley J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H.
(Injury)
Gore D.
(Red Card)
Hall D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hugill J.
(Inactive)
Kaleta M.
(Injury)
Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Powell J.
(Injury)
Spence K.
(Knee Injury)
Yearwood D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
Heneghan B.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Rotherham: Adegboyega E.
(Inactive)
Dawson C.
(Inactive)
McWilliams S.
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Port Vale - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.56%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Gauci J. (G) 
Lawrence-Gabriel J. 
Gordon L. 
Sherif M. 
Rafferty J. 
Jules Z. 
Martha A. 
Gray A. 
Waine B. 
Biancheri G. 
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