Match Info

League One - Round 40

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Adams Park (High Wycombe)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Wycombe Wanderers		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.15	6.4	Watch
	1.49	4.46	6.77
	1.46	4.3	6.92	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.48	4.19	6.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.57)	4.22 ↑ (3.9)	6.51 ↑ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wycombe Wanderers
63.6%

Draw
22.1%

Port Vale
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23.9%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

24.3%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	11.1%	5.6%

Wycombe Wanderers - Port Vale Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wycombe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wycombe Wanderers will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Norris W. (G) 23. Huggins N. 2. Grimmer J. (C) 26. Taylor C. 3. Harvie D. 5. Morley A. 8. Boyd-Munce C. 44. Onyedinma F. 12. Woodrow C. 77. Vidigal A. 11. Lowe N.	46. Gauci J. (G) 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 24. Kyle John 25. Humphreys C. 5. Hall C. 3. Headley J. 26. Shipley J. 14. Ojo F. 8. Garrity B. (C) 11. Archer E. 33. Hall G.
Substitutes
28. Harris L. 20. Henderson E. 10. Leahy L. 51. Lowry A. 7. Quitirna A. 25. Skura D. 1. van Sas M. (G)	13. Amos B. (G) 27. Campbell E. 45. Gray A. 50. Hernandez O. 35. Magloire T. 21. Sherif M. 12. Walters R.
Coaches
Duff M.	Brady J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Headley J. ↓, Campbell E. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Woodrow C. ⚽,
36', Harvie D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kyle John ↓, Gray A. ↑,
46', Shipley J. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
63', Vidigal A. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
65', Ojo F. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Taylor C. ⚽, Woodrow C. (A),
70', Archer E. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
72', Walters R. 🟨,
73', Boyd-Munce C. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
73', Lowe N. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
78', Hall G. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Onyedinma F. ⚽, Harris L. (A),
87', Huggins N. ↓, Skura D. ↑,
88', Morley A. ↓, Leahy L. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 0, Quitirna A. ⚽, Grimmer J. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 2.

Wycombe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Port Vale is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wycombe has had a series of away games.

In this match, Wycombe is the team to beat.

There will not play in Wycombe: Allen T. (Red Card) Casey D. (Hamstring Injury) Hagelskjaer A. (Injury)

There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury) Croasdale R. (Injury) Heneghan B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wycombe: Lowry A. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Port Vale: Kyle John (Inactive) Stockley J. (Ribs Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wycombe won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Wycombe	8	2	4	2	13:16	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
21.03.26	Leyton Orient - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Bolton Wanderers - Wycombe Wanderers	3:2 ✺
03.03.26	Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLLW
- Port Vale
English League One
24.03.26	Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Blackpool - Port Vale	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Port Vale - Huddersfield Town	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Port Vale - Bradford City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.11.25	Port Vale - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0
16.04.24	Port Vale - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2
23.12.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Port Vale	1:1
04.02.23	Port Vale - Wycombe Wanderers	0:3
01.11.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Port Vale	2:2
English League Two
24.03.18	Wycombe Wanderers - Port Vale	0:0
12.08.17	Port Vale - Wycombe Wanderers	2:3

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