The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 24%
Draw 27.8%
Preston North End 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
28.8%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
20.6%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peterborough United's form might have worsened.
Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Preston North End's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Preston North End could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Peterborough United - Preston North End Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 12).
Peterborough has the most likely position - 24 (32.14%), has project points - 35, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (83%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Preston has the most likely position - 13 (11.16%), has project points - 64, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Peterborough is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Preston is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Preston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Preston is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.