Match Info

Championship - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The Den (London)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Millwall		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.22	3.2	3.45	Watch
	2.29	3.14	3.57
	2.05	3.41	3.62	Watch
	2.2	3.14	3.41	Watch
	2.04	3.35	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.03)	3.25 (3.25)	3.48 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
43.9%

Draw
29%

Preston North End
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.9%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Millwall - Preston North End Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Preston will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 12% – 65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Millwall (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Crocombe M. (G) 6. Taylor C. 4. Crama T. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 24. De Norre C. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 22. Emakhu A. 10. Neghli C. 7. Ballo T. 9. Ivanovic M.	1. Iversen D. (G) 14. Storey J. 6. Lindsay L. 16. Hughes A. 42. Offiah O. 22. Thordarson S. T. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 5. Armstrong H. 18. Lewis J. 10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 24. Smith M.
Substitutes
31. Bangura-Williams R. 23. Bryan J. 43. Coleman J. (G) 25. Cundle L. 27. Grant K. 45. Harding W. 16. Kelly D. 17. Langstaff M. 28. Matthews A.	13. Cornell D. (G) 21. Devine A. 17. Dobbin L. 35. Mawene N. 36. Nolan E. 26. Small T. 15. Thompson J. 12. Walton J. (G) 38. Wilson M.
Coaches
Neil A.	Heckingbottom P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Sturge Z. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Smith M. ⚽,
21', Whiteman B. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Ivanovic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Lewis J. ↓, Small T. ↑,
58', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Dobbin L. ↑,
69', Cooper J. 🟨,
70', Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↓, Devine A. ↑,
74', Neghli C. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
82', Emakhu A. ↓, Bangura-Williams R. ↑,
87', Lindsay L. 🟨,
89', Ivanovic M. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
89', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
89', Ballo T. ↓, Harding W. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.

Millwall is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Preston has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Millwall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Millwall could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J. (Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Luongo M. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Gibson L. (Injury) Keane W. (Muscle Injury) McCann A. (Broken Hand) Potts B. (Muscle Injury) Valentin P. (Hamstring Injury) Vukcevic A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Millwall: Azeez F. (Injury) Benda S. (Inactive) Leonard R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Preston: Jebbison D. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
04.11.25	Birmingham City - Millwall	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Oxford United - Millwall	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Millwall - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Millwall - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTWWW
- Preston North End
English League Championship
05.11.25	Preston North End - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Southampton - Preston North End	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Preston North End - Sheffield United	3:2 ✺
21.10.25	Preston North End - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	West Bromwich Albion - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
18.02.25	Preston North End - Millwall	1:1
28.09.24	Millwall - Preston North End	3:1
27.01.24	Millwall - Preston North End	1:1
21.10.23	Preston North End - Millwall	1:1
15.04.23	Millwall - Preston North End	2:0
12.11.22	Preston North End - Millwall	2:4
15.04.22	Preston North End - Millwall	1:1

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