Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 6 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.45
	2.75	3.3	2.5
	3.04	3.23	2.47
	3	3	2.3
	3.14	3.32	2.27	Watch
	2.9	3.15	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	3.2 ↑ (2.98)	2.41 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
31.8%

Draw
29.3%

Defensa y Justicia
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

31.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

31.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cardozo T. (G) 13. Aguirregaray M. 2. Leo Coelho 3. Menosse H. 22. Ramos J. 10. Mendez K. 8. Rodriguez S. 5. Cristoforo S. 6. Saravia Salvia R. A. 19. Arezo M. 7. Carlos Sanchez	22. Unsain E. (G) 32. Sant'Anna A. 6. Colombo N. 25. Cardona T. 3. Soto A. 5. Gutierrez K. 8. Lopez J. 17. Alanis G. 19. Barbona D. 11. Togni G. 29. Fernandez N.
Substitutes
29. Alonso Fontes M. D. 49. Betancor B. 18. Ferreira M. 16. Guisolfo B. 34. Herrera N. 27. Lucas Hernandez 24. Mansilla B. 26. Morgan Michelena K. M. (G) 15. Rak Y. 17. Rodríguez Alonso D. V. 21. Rolan D. 11. Rossi N.	16. Benitez A. 10. Bogarin R. 23. Bologna E. (G) 26. Caceres D. 30. Castellani G. 15. Escalante L. T. 2. Malatini J. 18. Miritello J. B. 21. Ramos S. 9. Rios A. 27. Solari S. 4. Tripichio N.
Coaches
Arias A.	Vaccari J.

Preview

Peñarol is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Defensa y Justicia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensa y Justicia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Peñarol have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.06.23	La Luz - Peñarol de Montevideo	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.05.23	Millonarios - Peñarol de Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.05.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1 ✺
08.05.23	Racing Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Peñarol de Montevideo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLTWL
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.06.23	River Plate - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.05.23	América Mineiro - Defensa y Justicia	2:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.23	Rosario Central - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Peñarol de Montevideo	4:1

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