Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler)

Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)


	Phoenix Rising		New York Red Bulls 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.21	6.25	8.75	Watch
	1.24	5.75	8
	1.21	5.8	8.2
	1.24	6.78	10.04
	1.19	6.3	9.7	Watch
	1.22	6	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.32)	6.15 ↑ (5.19)	8.88 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
74.9%

Draw
14.8%

New York Red Bulls 2
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

17.5%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

16.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Rising's performance.

New York Red Bulls 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Phoenix Rising - New York Red Bulls 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 3 - 60%). New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Phoenix Rising has the most likely position - 12 (37.24%), has project points - 41, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (98.16%), has project points - 16, has currently - 15, has not chance of playoffs.

This event has very small quality 7, very small importance 1, very small match rating 4. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

New York Red Bulls 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Phoenix Rising have a series of guest games.

In this match Phoenix Rising is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
28.09.22	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	0:1 ✺
21.09.22	Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising	3:3 ✺
17.09.22	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	3:0 ✺
10.09.22	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	0:2 ✺
03.09.22	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLLL
- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
21.09.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Oakland Roots - New York Red Bulls 2	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Miami	1:7 ✺
03.09.22	Charleston Battery - New York Red Bulls 2	3:0 ✺
31.08.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Hartford Athletic	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLLT

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