Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)


	Phoenix Rising		Atlanta United II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.7	3.7
	1.52	4.7	4.5
	1.59	4	4.1
	1.47	4.5	5.1	Watch
	1.93	3.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.39)	4.13 ↑ (3.58)	4.12 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
55.6%

Draw
22.2%

Atlanta United II
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

25.1%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Rising's performance.

Atlanta United II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Rising that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Phoenix Rising - Atlanta United II Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Atlanta United II will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Phoenix Rising: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Phoenix Rising has the most likely position - 12 (35.02%), has project points - 41, has currently - 39, has not chance of playoffs.

Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 13 (79.12%), has project points - 24, has currently - 23, has not chance of playoffs.

This event has small quality 10, very small importance 0, very small match rating 5. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Atlanta United II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Phoenix Rising have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
08.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Phoenix Rising - New York Red Bulls 2	5:1 ✺
28.09.22	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	0:1 ✺
21.09.22	Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising	3:3 ✺
17.09.22	San Diego Loyal - Phoenix Rising	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWTL
- Atlanta United II
USL Championship
08.10.22	LA Galaxy II - Atlanta United II	1:3 ✺
28.09.22	Atlanta United II - Indy Eleven	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Miami - Atlanta United II	2:2 ✺
07.09.22	Atlanta United II - Memphis 901	0:4 ✺
03.09.22	Atlanta United II - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.3 WLTLW

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