Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport MIX


	Pianese		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.28	2.90	2.88	Watch
	2.34	2.97	3.62
	2.34	2.88	3.2	Watch
	2.20	2.85	3.55
	2.26	3.05	3.36	Watch
	2.24	3.00	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.36)	2.94 ↓ (3.13)	3.24 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
40.4%

Draw
31.2%

Sambenedettese
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sambenedettese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Pianese - Sambenedettese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pianese will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pianese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astaldi G. (G) 13. Ercolani L. 56. Masetti L. 16. Chesti F. 20. Vigiani L. 21. Tirelli M. 27. Bertini M. 30. Proietto F. (C) 77. Martey C. 11. Bellini L. 10. Ianesi S.	12. Krapikas T. (G) 17. Pezzola L. 15. Gigli N. 29. Camigliano A. 4. Zini A. 18. Candellori K. (C) 8. Tunjov G. 6. Piccoli M. 30. Nicoli S. 11. Stabile D. P. 9. Sgarbi L.
Substitutes
4. Casalino T. 7. Colombo M. 74. Corti T. 37. Di Cosmo L. 29. Fabrizi L. 15. Gorelli M. 19. Morelli G. 14. Negri G. 5. Peli L. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 23. Pintus N. 17. Xhani K. 12. Zambuto A. (G)	38. Buljan L. 20. Carinelli M. 5. Chelli M. 1. Cultraro G. (G) 23. De Angelis E. 7. Faggioli A. 90. Kosijer S. 93. Magnaghi S. 10. Marranzino P. 14. Plicco E. 37. Toure M.
Coaches
Zanchetta A.	Boscaglia R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Sgarbi L. ⚽,
40', Bellini L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vigiani L. ↓, Di Cosmo L. ↑,
48', Di Cosmo L. 🟨,
55', Zambuto A. 🟥,
56', Pezzola L. 🟨,
61', Pezzola L. ↓, Chelli M. ↑,
61', Sgarbi L. ↓, Magnaghi S. ↑,
61', Tunjov G. ↓, Plicco E. ↑,
64', Tirelli M. ↓, Negri G. ↑,
74', Camigliano A. 🟥,
76', 1 - 1, Bellini L. (Penalty Awarded),
77', Nicoli S. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
77', Stabile D. P. ↓, Kosijer S. ↑,
80', Martey C. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
86', Zini A. 🟨,
90', Plicco E. 🟨,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 18th in the Serie C ~ Play Out and 19th in the Relegation).

Recent results have been tough for Pianese (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Sambenedettese has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Pianese is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Pianese has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pianese against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Pianese	8	1	3	4	6:10	-4	6
19	Sambenedettese	8	1	2	5	11:14	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Pianese - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.99%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
16.09.26	Sassari Torres - Pianese	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pianese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Pianese	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Pianese - Vado	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Campobasso - Pianese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
16.09.26	Sambenedettese - Atalanta U23	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Pineto - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Sambenedettese - Spezia	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Altamura - Sambenedettese	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.08.26	Sassari Torres - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.26	Sambenedettese - Pianese	0:2
13.09.25	Pianese - Sambenedettese	1:1

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