Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Pianese		Sassari Torres

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	2.92	2.82
	2.53	2.83	2.96	Watch
	2.7	2.63	2.63
	2.87	2.74	2.82	Watch
	2.83	2.83	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.24)	2.79 ↓ (3.36)	2.78 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
34.1%

Draw
32.9%

Sassari Torres
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pianese's form might have worsened.

Sassari Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pianese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Pianese - Sassari Torres Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Filippis E. (G) 6. Amey W. 27. Bertini M. 16. Chesti F. 13. Ercolani L. 29. Fabrizi L. 77. Martey C. 30. Proietto F. 8. Simeoni L. (C) 14. Sodero A. 19. Sussi C.	12. Zaccagno A. (G) 23. Antonelli N. 4. Brentan M. 11. Diakite A. 30. Fabriani C. 24. Giorico D. 10. Mastinu G. (C) 6. Nunziatini F. 16. Sala M. 27. Zambataro E. 77. Zecca G.
Substitutes
5. Balde M. 12. Bertini T. (G) 31. Bigiarini D. 23. Chiavarino M. 33. Coccia L. 40. Colombo M. 15. Gorelli M. 56. Masetti L. 70. Nicastro M. 7. Peli L. 24. Reali A. (G) 21. Tirelli M. 71. Xhani K.	25. Bonin L. 21. Carboni M. 7. Di Stefano L. 26. Dumani S. 15. Liviero M. 20. Lunghi A. 22. Marano M. (G) 8. Masala A. 9. Musso A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Fabrizi L. ⚽,
43', Diakite A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Brentan M. ↓, Masala A. ↑,
46', Sala M. ↓, Di Stefano L. ↑,
46', Fabriani C. ↓, Liviero M. ↑,
59', Antonelli N. 🟨,
62', Diakite A. ↓, Musso A. ↑,
68', Martey C. 🟨,
71', Masala A. 🟨,
71', Martey C. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
72', Sodero A. ↓, Coccia L. ↑,
74', Fabrizi L. 🟨,
79', Zecca G. ↓, Bonin L. ↑,
81', Bertini M. ↓, Peli L. ↑,
81', Fabrizi L. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
85', Proietto F. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Di Stefano L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Pianese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torres has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Pianese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Torres	8	3	3	2	9:9	0	12
15	Pianese	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
11.01.26	Carpi - Pianese	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Pianese - Ascoli	4:2 ✺
21.12.25	Pianese - Ternana	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Juventus U23 - Pianese	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Pianese - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TWTTW
- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
10.01.26	Sassari Torres - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Pontedera - Sassari Torres	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Sassari Torres - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Gubbio - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sassari Torres - Pineto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.09.25	Sassari Torres - Pianese	0:2
16.03.25	Pianese - Sassari Torres	2:1
02.11.24	Sassari Torres - Pianese	3:0

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