The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lechia Gdańsk 45.6%
Draw 25.8%
Piast Gliwice 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
27.1%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
26.8%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64%
32%
4%
Lechia Gdańsk - Piast Gliwice Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Piast will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 47.8% – 85.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Piast (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
EH +1 - Piast (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Piast (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Piast (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Piast (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Paulsen A. (G) 33. Wojtowicz T. 4. Pllana B. 80. Rodin M. 27. Vojtko M. 99. Neugebauer T. 5. Zhelizko I. (C) 11. Mena C. 79. Sezonienko K. 8. Cirkovic A. 89. Bobcek T.
30. Holec D. (G) 55. Twumasi E. 5. Juande 29. Drapinski I. 36. Lewicki J. 10. Dziczek P. (C) 20. Tomasiewicz G. 98. Lokilo J. 31. Lesniak O. 11. Sanca L. 7. Felix J.
Substitutes
49. Bambecki I. 21. Glogowski M. 23. Kalahur M. 2. Kludka B. 76. Mavraj I. 29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 17. Tsarenko A. 7. Viunnyk B. 1. Weirauch S. (G)
28. Borowski F. 6. Chrapek M. 4. Czerwinski J. 9. Dalmau A. 3. Fikaj E. 70. Katsantonis A. 18. Maziarz O. 22. Mokwa T. 23. Mucha S. 33. Szymanski K. (G) 80. Vallejo H.
Coaches
Carver J.
Mysliwiec D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Twumasi E. 🟥,
28', Lesniak O. ↓, Borowski F. ↑,
31', Drapinski I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sezonienko K. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
46', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
46', Lokilo J. ↓, Czerwinski J. ↑,
62', Neugebauer T. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Zhelizko I. ⚽,
67', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
73', Dziczek P. 🟨,
76', Sanca L. ↓, Mucha S. ↑,
76', Felix J. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,
83', Rodin M. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Dziczek P. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Czerwinski J. 🟨,
90+5', Vojtko M. ↓, Kalahur M. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Lechia might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Lechia: Dyachuk M.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Piast: Plach F.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Piast Gliwice: 0.83%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Piast Gliwice
9
4
1
4
16:15
1
13
Last Results with these Odds
Piast Gliwice - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 28.39%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Paulsen A. (G) 
Wojtowicz T. 
Pllana B. 
Rodin M. 
Vojtko M. 
Zhelizko I. (C) 
Mena C. 
Cirkovic A. 
Twumasi E. 
Juande 
Lokilo J. 
Sanca L. 
Mavraj I. 
Katsantonis A. 
Carver J. 
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