Match Info

Serie A - Round 30

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Angola	18:00	Z Sports 2
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	13:00	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	14:00	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	13:00	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 1, Sport 3
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	12:00	ESPN 2
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	18:00	DAZN France
Georgia	21:00	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	00:00	ANTV, Vidio
Israel	19:00	Sport 3
Italy	18:00	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	20:00	Shasha
Macao	01:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	01:00	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:00	VG+
Paraguay	13:00	ESPN 2
Peru	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV7
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 2
South Korea	02:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	01:00	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	00:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	18:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	20:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	TV 360, VTVcab
International	17:00	Starzplay Sports app


	Roma		Lecce

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	8	Watch
	1.49	4.2	7
	1.49	4.15	7.4	Watch
	1.5	4.25	8
	1.48	4.24	7.76	Watch
	1.44	3.8	7
	1.53	3.96	8.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)	4.07 ↓ (4.58)	7.61 ↓ (9.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
64%

Draw
23.4%

Lecce
12.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69%

20.6%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

20.4%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.1%	9.4%	9.4%

Roma - Lecce Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Roma (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Roma (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Roma (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Lecce (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (42 of 52 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.06% – 91.48%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Lecce (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 2. Rensch D. 4. Cristante B. (C) 8. El Aynaoui N. 12. Tsimikas K. 61. Pisilli N. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 14. Malen D.	30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 5. Siebert J. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 20. Ramadani Y. 79. Ngom O. 50. Pierotti S. 16. Gandelman O. 19. Banda L. 9. Stulic N.
Substitutes
3. Angelino 68. Arena A. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 92. El Shaarawy S. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 78. Vaz R. 20. Venturino L. 97. Zaragoza B. 24. Ziolkowski J.	99. Cheddira W. 8. Fofana S. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 14. Helgason T. J. 18. Jean G. 36. Marchwinski F. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 13. Perez M. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G)
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mancini G. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
51', El Aynaoui N. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Vaz R. ⚽, Hermoso M. (A),
61', Stulic N. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
61', Gandelman O. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
67', Banda L. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
75', Tsimikas K. ↓, Angelino ↑,
75', Malen D. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
77', Angelino 🟨,
79', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
81', Pierotti S. 🟨,
85', Pierotti S. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
85', Ramadani Y. ↓, Sala A. ↑,
89', Pisilli N. 🟨,
90', Veiga D. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 4.

Roma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lecce has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Roma is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Dybala P. (Knee Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Kone M. (Muscle Injury) Soule M. (Groin Injury) Wesley Franca (Red Card)

There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Camarda F. (Injury) Coulibaly L. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Roma won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:9. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AS Roma	9	6	3	0	23:8	15	21
14	Lecce	9	3	0	6	10:19	-9	9

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AS Roma: 13.44% Lecce: 0.02%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Roma - Bologna	3:4 ET ✺
Italian Serie A
15.03.26	Como - Roma	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Bologna - Roma	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.03.26	Genoa - Roma	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Roma - Juventus	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
14.03.26	Napoli - Lecce	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lecce - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Como - Lecce	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Cagliari - Lecce	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
06.01.26	Lecce - Roma	0:2
29.03.25	Lecce - Roma	0:1
07.12.24	Roma - Lecce	4:1
01.04.24	Lecce - Roma	0:0
05.11.23	Roma - Lecce	2:1
11.02.23	Lecce - Roma	1:1
09.10.22	Roma - Lecce	2:1

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