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Current Win Probability
Monza 47.7%
Draw 27.5%
Benevento 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
27.3%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
29.3%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
30%
10%
Monza - Benevento Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Benevento will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 29.6% โ 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Monza has the most likely position - 3 (24.9%), has project points - 67, has currently - 64, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (81%), has a chance of promoted (40%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Benevento has the most likely position - 5 (24.22%), has project points - 66, has currently - 63, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (91%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality43, very big importance92, match rating68. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Monza will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Monza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
Watch
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