Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Deportivo Recoleta		San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.25	1.91	Watch
	4.15	3.05	1.92	Watch
	4.43	3.22	1.97
	4.67	3.25	1.88	Watch
	4	3	1.91	Watch
	4.67	3.28	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↓ (4.47)	3.18 ↑ (3.14)	1.92 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Recoleta
21.4%

Draw
29.7%

San Lorenzo
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

30.1%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

30.7%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Deportivo Recoleta - San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 3 - 30%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ferreira N. (G) 2. Echeguren Zarza F. A. 5. Marotta N. 32. Monzon L. 18. Rios P. 17. Baez W. (C) 38. Franco A. 6. Espinola J. 33. Gonzalez A. 11. Parzajuk K. 29. Wlk A.	12. Gill O. (G) 17. Rodriguez G. 32. Herrera E. 16. Corujo G. 55. Montenegro L. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 24. Tripichio N. (C) 8. Insaurralde M. 28. Barrios N. 29. Auzmendi R. 9. Cuello A.
Substitutes
3. Cardozo L. 7. Dominguez R. 14. Figueredo C. 8. Galeano F. 19. Lopez H. 10. Noguera J. 9. Ortiz R. 4. Pereira M. 31. Schupp M. 13. Toledo O. (G) 24. Vidal T.	26. Abrego G. 6. De Ritis M. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 10. Gulli F. 18. Herazo D. 14. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 42. Lorenzon F. 5. Perruzzi I. 11. Reali M. 4. Romana J. 19. Vietto L.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.	Alvarez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Marotta N. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Wlk A. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Auzmendi R. ⚽, Cuello A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez G. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
49', Echeguren Zarza F. A. 🟨,
57', Rodriguez Pagano T. ↓, De Ritis M. ↑,
66', Barrios N. ↓, Gulli F. ↑,
66', Cuello A. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
73', De Ritis M. 🟨,
74', Parzajuk K. ↓, Noguera J. ↑,
74', Gonzalez A. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
79', Insaurralde M. ↓, Perruzzi I. ↑,
81', Monzon L. 🟨,
82', Echeguren Zarza F. A. ↓, Figueredo C. ↑,
89', Baez W. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
89', Espinola J. ↓, Dominguez R. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, San Lorenzo is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.04.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo San Lorenzo	4:2 ✺
30.03.26	Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	1:0 ✺
26.03.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2 ✺
18.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLL
- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.04.26	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
20.03.26	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Rincón	5:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.26	San Lorenzo - Defensa y Justicia	2:5 ✺
11.03.26	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWLT

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