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Platense vs Corinthians Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 09, 2026)

Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN
Georgia	Silk Universal
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Platense		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	3	2.75	2.7	Watch
	3.05	2.62	2.78	Watch
	3.19	2.69	2.85
	3.12	2.7	2.76	Watch
	3	2.5	2.7
	3.15	2.74	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (3)	2.67 ↓ (2.86)	2.73 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
30.4%

Draw
35.2%

Corinthians
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

33%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

33.2%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Borgogno M. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 7. Mainero G. 15. Amarfil M. 26. Ferreira P. 10. Zapiola F. 21. Lotti A. 99. Lencina G.	1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 14. Raniele 49. Andre 7. Breno Bidon 8. Garro R. (C) 31. Kayke 9. Yuri Alberto
Substitutes
24. Barrios M. 33. Gauto J. 5. Gomez I. 23. Heredia L. 38. Ingenthron C. 4. Lagos A. 34. Mendia M. 18. Merlini B. 9. Nasif T. 6. Raggio E. 43. Retamar K. 22. Sumavil N. (G)	29. Allan 5. Andre Ramalho 26. Angileri F. 19. Carrillo A. 61. Dieguinho 51. Kaue (G) 52. Labyad Z. 77. Lingard J. 55. Machado I. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M. 11. Vitinho
Coaches
Zunino W.	Diniz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Andre 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Kayke ⚽, Garro R. (A),
63', Lotti A. ↓, Heredia L. ↑,
69', Ferreira P. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
70', Zapiola F. ↓, Gauto J. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Garro R. (A),
75', Vazquez I. ↓, Raggio E. ↑,
75', Mainero G. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
80', Saborido J. 🟥,
83', Andre ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
83', Kayke ↓, Vitinho ↑,
86', Yuri Alberto ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
87', Garro R. ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
87', Raniele ↓, Allan ↑,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Platense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Platense has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Platense: Bay J. (Knee Injury) Bobadilla H. (Muscle Injury) Goni G. (Muscle Injury) Minerva F. (Muscle Injury) Portillo M. (Muscle Injury) Quiros S. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M. (Thigh Injury) Gui Negao (Inactive) Joao Pedro (Inactive) Kaio Cesar (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Platense: Ferreira P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Corinthians: Hugo (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

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Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Corinthians: 9.48% Platense: 0.5%

Last Results with these Odds

Platense - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.26	Lanús - Platense	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Platense	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Platense - Vélez Sársfield	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Platense	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Platense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLTT
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Corinthians - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
01.04.26	Fluminense - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Corinthians - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Chapecoense - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Santos - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTT

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