Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	DSports
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 310
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DSports 1


	San Lorenzo		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.1	7	Watch
	1.65	3.25	5.9	Watch
	1.66	3.3	7.11
	1.68	3.2	6.94	Watch
	1.67	3.1	6
	1.66	3.13	6.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	3.18 ↑ (3)	6.6 ↓ (8.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
56.3%

Draw
29.5%

Deportivo Cuenca
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

31%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

29.6%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	27.8%	5.6%

San Lorenzo - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 55. Montenegro L. 24. Tripichio N. (C) 26. Abrego G. 8. Insaurralde M. 6. De Ritis M. 44. Hernandez M. 28. Barrios N. 9. Cuello A.	1. Ferrero F. (G) 25. Lopez A. 28. Boolsen P. 6. Postel S. 37. Arboleda C. 8. Vega E. 30. Maccari M. 19. Diaz M. 49. Gonzalez D. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 9. Leguizamon N.
Substitutes
29. Auzmendi R. 16. Corujo G. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 10. Gulli F. 18. Herazo D. 14. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 21. Perruzzi F. 11. Reali M. 17. Rodriguez G. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 19. Vietto L.	14. Chacon J. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 20. Garcia B. 23. Guevara E. 10. Ibarra R. 29. Klimowicz M. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 21. Morocho S. 43. Ordonez J. 18. Piedra M. 11. Rivero G.
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Celico J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Abrego G. ↓, Auzmendi R. ↑,
46', Hernandez M. ↓, Gulli F. ↑,
53', Postel S. 🟨,
58', De Ritis M. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
59', Barrios N. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Romana J. ⚽, Reali M. (A),
64', Leguizamon N. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
64', Diaz M. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Tripichio N. ⚽, Reali M. (A),
74', Lopez A. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
74', Vega E. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
84', Gonzalez D. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
86', Cuello A. ↓, Corujo G. ↑,
90', Gill O. 🟨,
90+1', Klimowicz M. 🟨,

Preview

San Lorenzo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Deportivo Cuenca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, San Lorenzo is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.26	Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Deportivo Recoleta - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.04.26	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
20.03.26	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Rincón	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWTW
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Santos	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.04.26	Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWTL

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