Match Info
Primera Division - Apertura - Round 15Date: 9 October 2026, FridayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 El-salvador | Canal 4, TCS GO |
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INCA-Aruba |
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Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.60 |
2.95 |
2.50 |
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 |
2.70 |
3.10 |
2.35 |
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 |
2.68 |
3.07 |
2.71 |
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 |
2.7 |
3.12 |
2.65 |
 Watch |
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2.65 |
3.00 |
2.60 |
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 |
2.63 |
3.26 |
2.63 |
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2.60 |
3.00 |
2.60 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(3.25) |
3.07 ↓
(3.15) |
2.58 ↑
(2.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
INCA-Aruba
34.6% | Draw
29.8% | Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
INCA-Aruba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in INCA-Aruba's performance.Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for INCA-Aruba than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (+4.4%)INCA Aruba - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - under (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 23', 0 - 1, Bogota C. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Urrutia J. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 2, Bello N. ⚽,
- 45+6', 1 - 3, Martinez F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90', 1 - 4, Roque J. ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 8th).INCA-Aruba has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Platense Municipal has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win). In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, INCA-Aruba has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Platense Municipal | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
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| 9 | Inca Aruba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:27 | -14 | 16 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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