Match Info

League One - Round 37

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)


	Reading		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.82	3.45	2.32
	2.92	3.56	2.41
	2.85	3.56	2.32	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.3
	2.86	3.4	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.38)	3.45 ↑ (3.41)	2.33 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
32.6%

Draw
27.2%

Plymouth Argyle
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading's form might have worsened.

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Reading - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Plymouth will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pereira J. (G) 24. Nyambe R. 15. O'Connor P. 33. Williams D. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 10. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 21. Williams R. 29. Doyle K. 32. Lane P. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K.	21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 3. MacKenzie J. 28. Curtis R. 19. Boateng M. 20. Kane H. 35. Dale O. 17. Watts C. 27. Pepple A.
Substitutes
6. Fraser L. 27. Keane W. 41. Rhone H. (G) 30. Ritchie M. 16. Ward B. 17. Yiadom A. 19. Young K.	10. Amaechi X. 13. Baker Z. (G) 41. Campbell S. 40. Mwaro J. 18. Oseni O. 7. Paterson J. 4. Wiredu B.
Coaches
Richardson L.	Cleverley T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', Pepple A. 🟨,
3', 1 - 0, Williams R. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Mitchell A. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
18', 2 - 1, O'Connor P. ⚽, Wing L. (A),
32', Mitchell A. 🟨,
45+1', Nyambe R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Curtis R. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Watts C. ⚽,
76', Lane P. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
76', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Keane W. ↑,
76', Nyambe R. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
76', Watts C. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
77', MacKenzie J. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
84', Williams R. ↓, Young K. ↑,
85', Kane H. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive) Kyerewaa D. (Inactive) O'Mahony M. (Inactive) Roberts H. (Injury)

There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Inactive) Hazard C. (Injury) Tolaj L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reading: Rinomhota A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Plymouth: Finn T. (Inactive) Ibrahim B. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Inactive) Ralls J. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Reading won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Plymouth	10	6	1	3	18:12	6	19
6	Reading	9	4	3	2	22:11	11	15

Last Results with these Odds

Reading - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.74%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Plymouth Argyle - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.16%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
10.03.26	Mansfield Town - Reading	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Luton Town - Reading	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Reading - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Port Vale - Reading	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Reading - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWTT
- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
10.03.26	Wigan Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	0:3 ✺
07.03.26	Plymouth Argyle - Doncaster Rovers	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
24.02.26	Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 ✺
English League One
21.02.26	Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Reading	1:4
English League Cup
27.08.19	Plymouth Argyle - Reading	2:4
09.08.16	Reading - Plymouth Argyle	2:0

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