Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 43

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Plymouth Argyle		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.46
	7.31	4.9	1.4	Watch
	6.93	5.03	1.45
	6.93	5.03	1.44
	7	4.6	1.4
	6.51	4.9	1.44	Watch
	6.8	4.9	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.81 ↑ (5.93)	4.86 ↑ (4.76)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
14%

Draw
19.6%

Leicester City
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

20%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

19.5%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	3.3%	83.3%

Plymouth Argyle - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 5. Pleguezuelo J. 6. Scarr D. 22. Galloway B. 14. Miller M. 20. Randell A. 27. Forshaw A. 2. Mumba B. 10. Whittaker M. (C) 15. Bundu M. 9. Hardie R.	30. Hermansen M. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 2. Justin J. 8. Winks H. 25. Ndidi W. 18. Fatawu I. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 10. Mavididi S. 20. Daka P.
Substitutes
16. Devine A. 8. Edwards J. 17. Gibson L. 21. Hazard C. (G) 4. Houghton J. 35. Issaka F. 26. Phillips A. 23. Waine B. 11. Wright C.	29. Akgun Y. 28. Cannon T. 17. Choudhury H. 4. Coady C. 5. Doyle C. 45. Nelson B. 26. Praet D. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 9. Vardy J.
Coaches
Dewsnip N.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Bundu M. ⚽, Forshaw A. (A),
30', Miller M. 🟨,
34', Miller M. ↓, Edwards J. ↑,
41', Forshaw A. 🟨,
45+4', Ndidi W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Hardie R. 🟨,
50', Whittaker M. 🟨,
54', Ndidi W. ↓, Praet D. ↑,
63', Bundu M. ↓, Gibson L. ↑,
67', Daka P. ↓, Vardy J. ↑,
69', Vestergaard J. 🟨,
70', Forshaw A. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
71', Hardie R. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
90+1', Waine B. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Plymouth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Leicester is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Leicester is certain favorite.

There will not play in Leicester: Cannon T. (Leg Injury) McAteer K. (Muscle Injury) Nelson B. (Leg Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
09.04.24	Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
05.04.24	Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Plymouth Argyle - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Norwich City - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Plymouth Argyle - Preston North End	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLLL
- Leicester City
English League Championship
09.04.24	Millwall - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Leicester City - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Leicester City - Norwich City	3:1 ✺
29.03.24	Bristol City - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.03.24	Chelsea - Leicester City	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.12.23	Leicester City - Plymouth Argyle	4:0

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