Match Info

Championship - Round 35

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leicester City		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.6	2.87
	2.46	3.44	2.81	Watch
	2.51	3.53	2.85
	2.42	3.53	2.81	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.8
	2.43	3.42	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.31)	3.44 ↓ (3.66)	2.85 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
39.2%

Draw
27.6%

Norwich City
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

26.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

The chances for Norwich City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Leicester City - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Norwich will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Norwich (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Leicester (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 3 - 75%). Norwich (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 5. Okoli C. 4. Nelson B. 33. Thomas L. 8. Winks H. 22. Skipp O. 7. Fatawu I. 29. Mukasa D. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 20. Daka P.	1. Kovacevic V. (G) 35. Fisher K. 15. McConville R. 33. Cordoba J. 14. Chrisene B. 23. McLean K. (C) 26. Field S. 8. Gibbs L. 25. Maghoma P. 21. Ahmed A. 30. Kvistgaarden M.
Substitutes
56. Aluko O. 18. Aribo J. 9. Ayew J. 6. James J. 24. Lascelles J. 10. Mavididi S. 28. Monga J. 25. Page L. 13. Vieites F. (G)	6. Darling H. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 11. Marcondes E. 5. Medic J. 46. Mundle Smith E. 20. Slimane A. 42. Springett T. 3. Stacey J. 16. Wright J.
Coaches
Rowett G.	Clement P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Okoli C. 🟨,
57', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
60', Cordoba J. 🟨,
62', Maghoma P. ↓, Slimane A. ↑,
62', Kvistgaarden M. ↓, Mundle Smith E. ↑,
64', Thomas L. 🟨,
64', Gibbs L. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Slimane A. ⚽, Field S. (A),
76', Daka P. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
76', Okoli C. ↓, Lascelles J. ↑,
76', Mukasa D. ↓, James J. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Ahmed A. ⚽,
81', Gibbs L. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
90+3', Ahmed A. ↓, Springett T. ↑,
90+4', Field S. ↓, Wright J. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 5.

Recent form of Leicester has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Norwich is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Norwich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Leicester has had a series of away games.

Recently, Norwich has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Choudhury H. (Knee Injury) James J. (Injury) Lascelles J. (Knock) Ramsey A. (Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vestergaard J. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Norwich: Amass H. (Injury) Crnac A. (Knee Injury) Diallo P. A. (Injury) Duffy S. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Jurasek M. (Foot Injury) Makama J. (Foot Injury) Mattsson P. (Ankle Injury) Schlupp J. (Hamstring Injury) Schwartau O. (Hamstring Injury) Topic M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Norwich: Forson A. (Hamstring Injury) Toure M. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Norwich: 4.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Norwich	9	3	0	6	17:19	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Leicester City - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.91%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Norwich City - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Championship
24.02.26	Middlesbrough - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Stoke City - Leicester City	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Southampton - Leicester City	2:1 ET ✺
English League Championship
10.02.26	Leicester City - Southampton	3:4 ✺
07.02.26	Birmingham City - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLLL
- Norwich City
English League Championship
25.02.26	Norwich City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Norwich City - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion	3:1 ✺
English League Championship
10.02.26	Oxford United - Norwich City	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Norwich City - Blackburn Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.11.25	Norwich City - Leicester City	1:2
01.04.24	Leicester City - Norwich City	3:1
20.09.23	Norwich City - Leicester City	0:2
English Premier League
11.05.22	Leicester City - Norwich City	3:0
28.08.21	Norwich City - Leicester City	1:2
28.02.20	Norwich City - Leicester City	1:0
14.12.19	Leicester City - Norwich City	1:1

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