Match Info

Championship - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: The Den (London)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	Millwall		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.16	3.36	2.28	Watch
	2.58	3.37	2.82
	2.72	3.21	2.63	Watch
	3.3	3.36	2.33	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.69)	3.3 ↑ (3.21)	2.48 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
32.5%

Draw
29%

Leicester City
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29.1%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

28.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Millwall - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Leicester will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 1 - 50%). Leicester (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Crocombe M. (G) 18. Leonard R. 4. Crama T. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 24. De Norre C. 11. Azeez F. 25. Cundle L. 7. Ballo T. 9. Ivanovic M.	1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 5. Okoli C. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 6. James J. 8. Winks H. 7. Fatawu I. 30. Ramsey A. 28. Monga J. 9. Ayew J.
Substitutes
31. Bangura-Williams R. 23. Bryan J. 43. Coleman J. (G) 14. Doughty A. 22. Emakhu A. 17. Langstaff M. 8. Mitchell B. 10. Neghli C. 6. Taylor C.	31. Begovic A. (G) 18. Carranza J. 17. Choudhury H. 20. Daka P. 3. Faes W. 10. Mavididi S. 22. Skipp O. 24. Soumare B. 39. Thomas S.
Coaches
Neil A.	Cifuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Cooper J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Azeez F. ⚽, De Norre C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Ramsey A. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
53', Pereira R. 🟨,
56', Ivanovic M. (Pen),
63', Thomas L. ↓, Faes W. ↑,
63', Monga J. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
68', De Norre C. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
76', Pereira R. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
77', Ayew J. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
78', Cundle L. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
83', Winks H. 🟨,
90+1', Ballo T. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
90+2', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.

Millwall is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leicester has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leicester: Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Millwall: Smallbone W. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leicester: De Cordova-Reid B. (Inactive) Mavididi S. (Hamstring Injury) Page L. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Millwall - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.79%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
21.10.25	Millwall - Stoke City	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Queens Park Rangers - Millwall	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Millwall - West Bromwich Albion	3:0 ✺
01.10.25	Millwall - Coventry City	0:4 ✺
27.09.25	Swansea City - Millwall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWLT
- Leicester City
English League Championship
21.10.25	Hull City - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Leicester City - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Swansea City - Leicester City	1:3 ✺
30.09.25	Leicester City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	West Bromwich Albion - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.04.24	Millwall - Leicester City	1:0
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Millwall - Leicester City	2:3
English League Championship
13.12.23	Leicester City - Millwall	3:2
English League Cup
22.09.21	Millwall - Leicester City	0:2
English FA Cup
18.02.17	Millwall - Leicester City	1:0
English League Championship
01.01.14	Millwall - Leicester City	1:3
30.11.13	Leicester City - Millwall	3:0

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