Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 12

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Davies A. (Eng)


	Plymouth Argyle		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.4
	2.8	3.4	2.45
	2.92	3.36	2.43
	2.92	3.37	2.54
	2.87	3.38	2.46	Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.5
	2.83	3.42	2.44	Watch
	2.92	3.36	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.65)	3.39 ↑ (3.35)	2.46 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
33.2%

Draw
28.1%

Preston North End
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.2%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Plymouth Argyle - Preston North End Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Preston will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Grimshaw D. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 44. Palsson V. 6. Szucs K. 2. Mumba B. 20. Randell A. 27. Forshaw A. 10. Whittaker M. 28. Al Hajj R. 35. Issaka F. 14. Obafemi M.	1. Woodman F. (G) 29. Kesler-Hayden K. 14. Storey J. 6. Lindsay L. 16. Hughes A. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 8. McCann A. 10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 20. Greenwood S. 11. Brady R. 9. Riis E.
Substitutes
15. Bundu M. 19. Gray A. 18. Gyabi D. 9. Hardie R. 4. Houghton J. 25. Marosi M. (G) 3. Ogbeta N. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 11. Wright C.	33. Best K. 13. Cornell D. (G) 25. Holmes D. 18. Ledson R. 23. Okkels J. 44. Potts B. 17. Stewart L. 22. Thordarson S. T. 5. Whatmough J.
Coaches
Rooney W.	Heckingbottom P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Greenwood S. ⚽,
31', Brady R. ↓, Potts B. ↑,
41', Kesler-Hayden K. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Frokjaer-Jensen M. ⚽, Riis E. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Greenwood S. 🟨,
48', 0 - 3, Potts B. ⚽, Kesler-Hayden K. (A),
50', Edwards J. ↓, Pleguezuelo J. ↑,
55', 1 - 3, Issaka F. ⚽,
58', Forshaw A. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
58', Al Hajj R. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
63', Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
72', Kesler-Hayden K. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,
72', Issaka F. ↓, Bundu M. ↑,
72', Obafemi M. ↓, Hardie R. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Gray A. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 3, Whittaker M. ⚽, Bundu M. (A),

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 and 17).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Plymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Plymouth: Cissoko I. (Red Card) Galloway B. (Ankle Injury) Hazard C. (Injury)

There will not play in Preston: Bauer P. (Elbow Injury) Evans C. (Muscle Injury) Keane W. (Tendon Injury) Osmajic M. (Suspended)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
23.10.24	Millwall - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle	5:0 ✺
05.10.24	Plymouth Argyle - Blackburn Rovers	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Burnley - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
27.09.24	Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLWLW
- Preston North End
English League Championship
22.10.24	Preston North End - Norwich City	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Preston North End - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Burnley - Preston North End	0:0 ✺
02.10.24	Preston North End - Watford	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Millwall - Preston North End	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
16.03.24	Plymouth Argyle - Preston North End	0:1
16.09.23	Preston North End - Plymouth Argyle	2:1

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