Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 3

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Australia	beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
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Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Plymouth Argyle		Southampton

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.73	Watch
	4.2	3.9	1.78
	4.5	4.2	1.72
	4.53	4.22	1.75
	3.75	3.5	1.75
	4.45	4.05	1.72	Watch
	4.4	3.95	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (4.06)	3.97 ↑ (3.48)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
21.9%

Draw
23.8%

Southampton
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

26.8%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

26.5%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Plymouth Argyle - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 6 - 40%). S`hampton will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hazard C. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 6. Scarr D. 17. Gibson L. 29. Kesler Hayden K. 28. Cundle L. 4. Houghton J. 18. Azaz F. 10. Whittaker M. 9. Hardie R. 2. Mumba B.	31. Bazunu G. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 35. Bednarek J. 5. Stephens J. (C) 3. Manning R. 11. Tella N. 24. Charles S. 17. Armstrong S. 23. Edozie S. 9. Armstrong A. 10. Adams C.
Substitutes
25. Burton C. (G) 7. Butcher M. 14. Miller M. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 20. Randell A. 23. Waine B. 16. Warrington L. 11. Wright C. 19. Wright T.	27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 7. Aribo J. 34. Ballard D. 14. Bree J. 32. Doyle K. 13. Lumley J. (G) 25. Lyanco 18. Mara S. 15. Perraud R.
Coaches
Schumacher S.	Martin R.

Preview

Recent matches Plymouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

S`hampton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match S`hampton is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
12.08.23	Watford - Plymouth Argyle	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Plymouth Argyle - Leyton Orient	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
05.08.23	Plymouth Argyle - Huddersfield Town	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Swindon Town - Plymouth Argyle	3:1 ✺
18.07.23	Torquay United - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWLT
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
12.08.23	Southampton - Norwich City	4:4 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Gillingham - Southampton	3:1 ✺
English League Championship
04.08.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Southampton	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Southampton - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
25.07.23	Southampton - Bournemouth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLWLL

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