Match Info

Championship - Round 39

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Vicarage Road (Watford)

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Watford		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5.25
	1.56	3.93	6.35	Watch
	1.68	3.8	5.08
	1.57	3.89	6.38	Watch
	1.65	3.7	5.5
	1.56	3.96	6.3	Watch
	1.56	3.93	6.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.7)	3.86 ↑ (3.76)	5.93 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
59.5%

Draw
24.5%

Plymouth Argyle
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.2%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

24.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	5%	20%

Watford - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Selvik E. (G) 45. Andrews R. 6. Pollock M. 3. Sierralta F. 26. Wiley C. 10. Louza I. 24. Dele-Bashiru T. 17. Sissoko M. (C) 11. Vata R. 8. Chakvetadze G. 19. Bayo V.	21. Hazard C. (G) 6. Szucs K. 25. Katic N. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 29. Sorinola M. 20. Randell A. (C) 18. Gyabi D. 17. Puchacz T. 9. Hardie R. 15. Bundu M. 14. Obafemi M.
Substitutes
34. Baah K. 1. Bachmann D. (G) 14. Dwomoh P. 7. Ince T. 39. Kayembe E. 37. Larouci Y. 47. Massiah-Edwards Z. 22. Morris J. 2. Ngakia J.	30. Baidoo M. 8. Edwards J. 31. Grimshaw D. (G) 4. Houghton J. 2. Mumba B. 3. Ogbeta N. 44. Palsson V. 26. Tijani M. 11. Wright C.
Coaches
Cleverley T.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Gyabi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Andrews R. ↓, Ngakia J. ↑,
62', Dele-Bashiru T. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
64', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
72', Bundu M. ↓, Mumba B. ↑,
73', Gyabi D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
79', Sorinola M. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
79', Bayo V. ↓, Massiah-Edwards Z. ↑,
79', Obafemi M. ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
82', Hazard C. 🟨,
85', Hardie R. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
90+1', Vata R. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
90+1', Wiley C. ↓, Larouci Y. ↑,
90+7', Larouci Y. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Recent matches Watford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Plymouth is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Watford is a favorite.

There will not play in Watford: Abankwah J. (Red Card) Baah K. (Thigh Injury) Bachmann D. (Ankle Injury) Doumbia M. (Hamstring Injury) Keben K. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Broken rib) Tijani M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury) Ogbonna A. (Illness)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Watford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Championship
15.03.25	Oxford United - Watford	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Watford - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Watford - Millwall	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Stoke City - Watford	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Watford - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLTW
- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
15.03.25	Plymouth Argyle - Derby County	2:3 ✺
12.03.25	Portsmouth - Plymouth Argyle	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield Wednesday	0:3 ✺
04.03.25	Hull City - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.03.25	Manchester City - Plymouth Argyle	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.11.24	Plymouth Argyle - Watford	2:2
English League Cup
27.08.24	Watford - Plymouth Argyle	2:0
English League Championship
01.01.24	Plymouth Argyle - Watford	3:3
12.08.23	Watford - Plymouth Argyle	0:0

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