Match Info

Date: 18 September 2020, Friday


	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.1
	3.4	3.5	2.07	Watch
	3.35	3.45	2.08
	3.46	3.64	2.15
	3.3	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.58	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.8)	3.47 ↑ (3.16)	2.09 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
27.8%

Draw
27.2%

Raków Częstochowa
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

21.3%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała's form might have worsened.

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raków Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	20%	68%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Raków will win (votes: 17 - 68%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Podbeskidzie is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Raków is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Raków will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Podbeskidzie won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Podbeskidzie won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.09.20	Jagiellonia Białystok - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
30.08.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Cracovia	2:2 ✺
23.08.20	Górnik Zabrze - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup
15.08.20	Stal Rzeszów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTLWL
- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.09.20	Raków Częstochowa - Zagłębie Lubin	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Lechia Gdańsk - Raków Częstochowa	1:3 ✺
Polish Cup
25.08.20	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Raków Częstochowa	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.08.20	Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.20	Raków Częstochowa - Korona Kielce	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
24.04.19	Raków Częstochowa - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0
06.10.18	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Raków Częstochowa	0:0
05.05.18	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Raków Częstochowa	1:1
18.10.17	Raków Częstochowa - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1
Club Friendly
25.02.17	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Raków Częstochowa	2:2
25.06.16	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Raków Częstochowa	0:3

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